Sebastian Ofner and Vilius Gaubas will face off in the 2nd round of the Madrid Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on PISTA E.MANDARINO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Ofner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Ofner is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Ofner -> 1.67
Vilius Gaubas -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Ofner vs. Vilius Gaubas
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Ofner and Vilius Gaubas face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Gaubas (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Gaubas won 7-6(2) 6-2 in the quarter in the Menorca Challenger back in April 2025.
Sebastian Ofner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-25 | 6-8 | 8-13 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 60-31 | 12-10 | 37-13 | 7-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-18 | 4-4 | 21-12 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-24 | 4-6 | 4-8 | 7-6 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133, Sebastian reached the 2nd round after defeating Billy Harris 4-6 6-3 7-5.
In the 1st round against Harris, The Austrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Ofner scored 101 points vs Harris’s 95. Ofner was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ofner made 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Ofner was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 62% (26/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sebastian broke Harris twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Ofner has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (321-241). 5-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ofner has a composed 155-114 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Sebastian has a composed 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Vilius Gaubas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-13 | 1-3 | 17-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-35 | 7-4 | 40-28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-26 | 3-3 | 55-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-17 | 4-4 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149 (career-high), Gaubas reached the 2nd round after defeating Lorenzo Giustino 4-6 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round against Giustino, The Lithuanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 7-5). During the match Gaubas scored 111 points vs Giustino’s 106. Vilius was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Gaubas scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Vilius Gaubas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Gaubas put 68% of his first serves in, winning 67% (48/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (21/34) on the 2nd serve. Vilius broke Giustino 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
His best result of the year was winning the title the Menorca Challenger where he defeated Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.
The Lithuanian has a composed 9-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ofner | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 34 |
| Pts | 101-95 | 111-106 |
| Total Points | 196 | 217 |
| Winners | 40 | 48 |
| %Winners | 40% | 43% |
Both Ofner and Gaubas played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Ofner dropped 1 set, while Vilius Gaubas conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ofner and Gaubas have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Ofner played 3 games less than Gaubas. The Austrian scored 40 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Lithuanian managed to score 48 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ofner | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 54/96 | 72/106 |
| %1st in | 56% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 40/54 | 48/72 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 26/42 | 21/34 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 62% |
Ofner managed to score 5 aces . Gaubas recorded 3 aces . Ofner won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Gaubas won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ofner | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/8 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 25% | 33% |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 |
| Saved | 1 | 6 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Austrian broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. The Austrian lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Vilius broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Lithuanian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ofner | |||
| R1 Harris |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 101-95 | 101-95 | |
| Total points | 196 | 196 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 54/96 | 54/96 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 40/54 | 40/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/42 | 26/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gaubas | |||
| R1 Giustino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 111-106 | 111-106 | |
| Total points | 217 | 217 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 72/106 | 72/106 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 48/72 | 48/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/34 | 21/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWLW
WLWWWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Madrid Challenger
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Marin CilicCilic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Calvin HemeryHemery (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Zsombor PirosPiros – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
