Marin Cilic and Marco Trungelliti will square off in the 2^nd round of the Madrid Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on PISTA CENTRAL C.MADRID. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marin Cilic who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marin Cilic is the pick to win this match.
Marin Cilic -> 1.31
Marco Trungelliti -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Marin Cilic vs. Marco Trungelliti

This will be the 2^nd time that Marin Cilic and Marco Trungelliti square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Trungelliti (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Trungelliti won 7-6(4) 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the 1^st round in at the French Open back in 2016.

Marin Cilic

Ranked no. 117, the Croatian got to the 2^nd round after defeating Ignacio Buse 6-3 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Cilic had a good straight sets win against Buse (6-3 7-5). During the match, Cilic scored 76 points vs Buse’s 65. Cilic was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Cilic recorded 11 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Marin Cilic lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cilic put 48% of his first serves in, winning 88% (28/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. The Croatian broke Buse 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Cilic has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (257-157). 6-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Cilic has a composed 59-33 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Girona Challenger where he beat Elmer Moller in the final 6-3 6-4.

The Croatian has an aggregate 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

Cilic has never competed in this tournament before.

Marco Trungelliti

Ranked no. 167, the Argentine got to the 2^nd round after defeating Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-3 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Marco had a good straight sets win against Merida Aguilar (6-3 6-3). During the match Trungelliti scored 67 points vs Merida Aguilar’s 53. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Trungelliti scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Marco Trungelliti lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Trungelliti put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Marco broke Merida Aguilar 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Marco has an overall 6-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Cilic	Trungelliti
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	18
Pts	76-65	67-53
Total Points	141	120
Winners	28	25
%Winners	37%	37%

Both Cilic and Trungelliti played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Cilic and Trungelliti have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Cilic played 3 games more than Trungelliti. The Croatian scored 28 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Trungelliti fired 25 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Cilic	Trungelliti
Aces	11	1
Avg per match	11	1
1st in	32/67	36/59
%1st in	48%	61%
1st pts	28/32	25/36
%1st pts	88%	69%
2nd pts	15/35	13/23
%2nd pts	43%	57%

Cilic blasted 11 aces . Trungelliti fired 1 ace . Cilic won 88% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Trungelliti won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Cilic	Trungelliti
Won	4	4
Converted	4/13	4/11
% Converted	31%	36%
Conceded	5	3
Saved	3	2
% Saved	60%	67%
Times Broken	2	1

Cilic broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Cilic dropped his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Trungelliti broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Marco conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Cilic
	R1 Buse	Total
Score	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	76-65	76-65
Total points	141	141
Winners	28	28
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	32/67	32/67
% 1st in	48%	48%
1st pts	28/32	28/32
% 1st pts	88%	88%
2nd pts	15/35	15/35
% 2nd pts	43%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/13	4/13
Converted %	31%	31%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Trungelliti
	R1 Merida	Total
Score	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	67-53	67-53
Total points	120	120
Winners	25	25
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	36/59	36/59
% 1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	25/36	25/36
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	13/23	13/23
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/11	4/11
Converted %	36%	36%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Madrid Challenger

• Valentin RoyerRoyer – August HolmgrenHolmgren (7-6⁴ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zsombor PirosPiros – Borna CoricCoric (5-7 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Pavel KotovKotov – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-4 5-7 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Norbert GombosGombos – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (7-6⁴ 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Marin CilicCilic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Calvin HemeryHemery (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos TabernerTaberner – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Pavel KotovKotov – Norbert GombosGombos (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Zsombor PirosPiros – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction