Bernard Tomic and Juan Alejandro Hernandez will face off in the 2nd round of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on ESTADIO RAFAEL OSUNA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Bernard Tomic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Bernard Tomic is the pick to win this match.
Bernard Tomic -> 1.58
Juan Alejandro Hernandez -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Bernard Tomic vs. Juan Alejandro Hernandez
There is no head to head record between Bernard Tomic and Juan Alejandro Hernandez since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Bernard Tomic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-11 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 34-19 | 12-5 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-27 | 35-19 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-12 | 24-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 236, the Australian got to the 2nd round after defeating Tom Paris 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Paris (6-4 6-2). During the match, Tomic scored 59 points vs Paris’s 48. Bernard was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tomic managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Bernard Tomic was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bernard broke Paris 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Tomic has good match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (226-184). 2-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tomic has an overall 36-41 record in the last years on clay.
The Australian has a compiled 9-10 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
12 - 10win/loss
524
462
LLWLLWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-11 | 8-4 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-17 | 13-8 | 11-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-26 | 19-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-19 | 18-10 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 533, the Mexican reached the 2nd round after beating Pedro Sakamoto 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Juan had a good straight sets win against Sakamoto (6-3 6-1). During the match Alejandro scored 72 points vs Sakamoto’s 49. Juan was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Alejandro scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Juan Alejandro Hernandez conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Alejandro put 74% of his first serves in, winning 70% (32/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. The Mexican broke Sakamoto 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Juan’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Huamantla.
Juan has an aggregate 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tomic | Alejandro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 |
| Pts | 59-48 | 72-49 |
| Total Points | 107 | 121 |
| Winners | 22 | 32 |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% |
Both Tomic and Alejandro played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tomic and Alejandro have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Tomic played 2 games more than Alejandro. Tomic scored 22 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Mexican made 32 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tomic | Alejandro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 27/49 | 46/62 |
| %1st in | 55% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 32/46 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 9/16 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 56% |
Tomic struck 2 aces . Alejandro blasted 1 ace . Tomic won 81% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Alejandro won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tomic | Alejandro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Tomic broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Bernard extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Juan broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Mexican was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.
| Tomic | |||
| R1 Paris |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 59-48 | 59-48 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/49 | 27/49 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 22/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 14/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Alejandro | |||
| R1 Sakamoto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 72-49 | 72-49 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 46/62 | 46/62 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 32/46 | 32/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWWLW
LLWLLWWLWL Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alfredo PerezPerez – Andres MartinMartin (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – James DuckworthDuckworth (2-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves – Darwin BlanchBlanch (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Nicolas MejiaMejia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alfredo PerezPerez – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Neil OberleitnerOberleitner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matias SotoSoto – Aziz DougazDougaz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano – Bernard TomicTomic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
