Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev will face off in the 3rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on COURT DES PRINCES. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.85
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 11th time that Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 7-3 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but De Minaur leads 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-2 6-4 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2024.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur – Nitto atp finals 12-November-2024
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-7 | 12-5 | 4-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, De Minaur got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Tomas Machac 3-6 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Machac, De Minaur recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-0 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 85 points vs Machac’s 70. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Machac 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (377-211). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a composed 60-48 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Australian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Rotterdam.
Alex has an aggregate 18-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-8 | 9-5 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Karen Khachanov 7-5 4-6 6-4 and Alexandre Muller 7-6(6) 5-7 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian defeated Muller (7-66 5-7 6-2). During the match Medvedev scored 115 points vs Muller’s 110. Daniil was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Medvedev recorded 7 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 56% of his first serves in, winning 72% (42/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Muller 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Daniil’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Marseille and Indian Wells.
Daniil has a compiled 14-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 65 |
| Pts | 85-70 | 228-212 |
| Total Points | 155 | 440 |
| Winners | 33 | 77 |
| %Winners | 39% | 34% |
De Minaur played 1 match while Medvedev competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set, while Daniil Medvedev surrendered 2 sets. De Minaur has played 3 set(s) less than Medvedev (3 vs 6). Therefore, De Minaur played 41 games less than Medvedev. De Minaur scored 33 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 77 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 42/80 | 106/199 |
| %1st in | 53% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 77/106 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 35/93 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 38% |
De Minaur scored 3 aces . Medvedev struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). De Minaur won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 14 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 14/30 |
| % Converted | 80% | 47% |
| Conceded | 5 | 22 |
| Saved | 4 | 10 |
| % Saved | 80% | 45% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 12 |
The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Daniil broke his opponents 14 times with a 47% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||
| R2 Machac |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 85-70 | 85-70 | |
| Total points | 155 | 155 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/80 | 42/80 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 33/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 20/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Khachanov |
R2 Muller |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-4 | 7-66 5-7 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 33 | 65 | |
| pts | 113-102 | 115-110 | 228-212 | |
| Total points | 215 | 225 | 440 | |
| Winners | 35 | 42 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 48/96 | 58/103 | 106/199 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 56% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 35/48 | 42/58 | 77/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 72% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/48 | 19/45 | 35/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 42% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 9/20 | 5/10 | 14/30 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 8/16 | 2/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLWWLW
LWWLLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Arthur FilsFils – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tomas MachacMachac (3-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-66 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Valentin VacherotVacherot (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-3 3-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-5 6-74 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Rohan Bopanna/Ben SheltonBopanna/Ben Shelton – Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori (2-6 7-64 10-7) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Marcos GironGiron (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Valentin VacherotVacherot (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-6(6) 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tomas MachacMachac (3-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
