Grigor Dimitrov and Alejandro Tabilo will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on COURT DES PRINCES. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.44
Alejandro Tabilo -> 2.79

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Alejandro Tabilo

This will be the 3rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Alejandro Tabilo clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Dimitrov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Dimitrov won 7-6(4) 7-6(2) in the R in Laver cup back in 2024.

Grigor Dimitrov

Grigor Dimitrov

11 - 6win/loss

Hard
9-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-0
Rank
17
High
3
LWWWLWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-7 9-6 3-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-18 21-7 8-4 13-5 4-2 0-0
2023 43-21 16-10 10-5 10-4 7-2 0-0
2022 26-22 10-11 10-5 5-4 1-2 0-0
2021 24-18 18-10 3-5 2-2 1-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 18, the Bulgarian reached the 3rd round after beating Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-4 and Valentin Vacherot 4-6 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round against Vacherot, The Bulgarian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-1). During the match, Dimitrov scored 87 points vs Vacherot’s 67. Dimitrov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Dimitrov recorded 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (31/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Dimitrov broke Vacherot 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Bulgarian has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Dimitrov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (305-181). 2-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dimitrov has a composed 61-42 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Dimitrov’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane and Miami.

Grigor has a compiled 11-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Dimitrov's Record

Alejandro Tabilo

Alejandro Tabilo

4 - 9win/loss

Hard
2-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-4
Rank
31
High
19
LWWLLWLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-10 2-5 2-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 38-27 13-8 15-10 3-7 7-2 0-0
2023 52-26 13-5 39-19 0-1 0-1 0-0
2022 33-22 7-6 23-11 0-1 3-4 0-0
2021 38-30 13-9 22-15 1-3 2-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 32, the Chilean reached the 3rd round after beating Stan Wawrinka 1-6 7-5 7-5 and Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Djokovic (6-3 6-4). During the match Tabilo scored 66 points vs Djokovic’s 49. Alejandro was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Tabilo made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Tabilo lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Tabilo put 63% of his first serves in, winning 81% (30/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Djokovic 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tabilo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Tabilo has an overall 4-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Tabilo's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

G.Dimitrov
A.Tabilo
3h:37
3h:37
Time on court​
3h:54
3h:54
1h:51
1h:51
Last match​
1h:27
1h:27
2
2
Match played
2
2
45
45
Games Played​
50
50
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
161
161
Total points​
172
172
80.5
80.5
Avg point​
86
86
59
59
Winners
68
68
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
34
34
37%
37%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
5
5
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
7
7
Double Faults
7
7
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
59/84
59/84
1st won total​
68/94
68/94
70%
70%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
33/70
33/70
2nd won total​
30/66
30/66
47%
47%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
11/22
11/22
BP won
8/21
8/21
5.5/11
5.5/11
Avg BP won
4/10.5
4/10.5
50%
50%
Won
38%
38%
20
20
Conceded
15
15
10
10
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
6
6
Broken
6
6
3
3
Avg Broken
3
3
14
14
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Dimitrov Tabilo
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 45 50
Pts 161-131 172-159
Total Points 292 331
Winners 59 68
%Winners 37% 40%

Both Dimitrov and Tabilo played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Grigor Dimitrov lost 1 set, while Alejandro Tabilo dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Dimitrov and Tabilo have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Dimitrov played 5 games less than Tabilo. Dimitrov scored 59 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Tabilo scored 68 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Dimitrov Tabilo
Aces 5 5
Avg per match 2.5 2.5
1st in 84/154 94/160
%1st in 55% 59%
1st pts 59/84 68/94
%1st pts 70% 72%
2nd pts 33/70 30/66
%2nd pts 47% 45%

Dimitrov fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Tabilo scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Dimitrov won 70% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Tabilo won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Dimitrov Tabilo
Won 11 8
Converted 11/22 8/21
% Converted 50% 38%
Conceded 20 15
Saved 14 9
% Saved 70% 60%
Times Broken 6 6

The Bulgarian broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Grigor surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Dimitrov
R1
Jarry		 R2
Vacherot		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 26 45
pts 74-64 87-67 161-131
Total points 138 154 292
Winners 28 31 59
%Winners 38% 36% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 5
Double Faults 4 3 7
1st in 39/75 45/79 84/154
% 1st in 52% 57% 55%
1st pts 28/39 31/45 59/84
% 1st pts 72% 69% 70%
2nd pts 17/36 16/34 33/70
% 2nd pts 47% 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 4 7 11
Converted 4/12 7/10 11/22
Converted % 33% 70% 50%
Conceded 9 11 20
Saved 7/9 7/11 14
Saved % 78% 64% 71%
Times Broken 2 4 6
Tabilo
R1
Wawrinka		 R2
Djokovic		 Total
Score 1-6 7-5 7-5 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 31 19 50
pts 106-110 66-49 172-159
Total points 216 115 331
Winners 38 30 68
%Winners 36% 45% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5
Double Faults 5 2 7
1st in 57/101 37/59 94/160
% 1st in 56% 63% 59%
1st pts 38/57 30/37 68/94
% 1st pts 67% 81% 72%
2nd pts 19/44 11/22 30/66
% 2nd pts 43% 50% 45%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/13 3/8 8/21
Converted % 38% 38% 38%
Conceded 12 3 15
Saved 7/12 2/3 9
Saved % 58% 67% 63%
Times Broken 5 1 6

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

Upcoming matches in the draw

Dimitrov
More Stats
Click here
Tabilo

Click for FULL STATS