Casper Ruud and Alexei Popyrin will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on COURT DES PRINCES. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.25
Alexei Popyrin -> 3.94
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Alexei Popyrin
There is no head to head record between Casper Ruud and Alexei Popyrin since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-6 | 6-3 | 5-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Ruud reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Casper had a good straight sets win against Bautista-Agut (6-2 6-1). During the match, Ruud scored 59 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 31. Casper was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ruud recorded 6 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Casper Ruud was pretty efficient on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Casper broke Bautista-Agut 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (404-215). 1-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has an aggregate 231-100 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Ruud’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Dallas.
Ruud has a compiled 13-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Alexei Popyrin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Alexei got to the 3rd round after beating Ugo Humbert 3-6 7-6(2) 6-4 and Frances Tiafoe 3-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Tiafoe, Popyrin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-3).During the match Popyrin scored less points (2) than Tiafoe. In fact, the world no. 7 won 88 points vs Tiafoe’s. That means that Popyrin was more focused during the important points. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Popyrin struck 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Popyrin put 66% of his first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (9/27) on the 2nd serve. Popyrin broke Tiafoe 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Popyrin has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
The Australian has an aggregate 4-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 59 |
| Pts | 59-31 | 200-201 |
| Total Points | 90 | 401 |
| Winners | 25 | 87 |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% |
Ruud played 1 match while Popyrin competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alexei Popyrin conceded 2 sets while Casper Ruud hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ruud has played 4 set(s) less than Popyrin (2 vs 6). Therefore, Ruud played 44 games less than Popyrin. Ruud scored 25 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Alexei managed to score 87 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 5 |
| 1st in | 29/39 | 120/186 |
| %1st in | 74% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 87/120 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 28/66 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 42% |
Ruud struck 6 aces . Popyrin blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Ruud won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 7/25 |
| % Converted | 50% | 28% |
| Conceded | 0 | 14 |
| Saved | 0 | 9 |
| % Saved | 0% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Casper broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Norwegian very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Alexei broke his opponents 7 times with a 28% conversion rate. Alexei conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||
| R2 Bautista-Agut |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 59-31 | 59-31 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 29/39 | 29/39 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 25/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 7/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Popyrin | ||||
| R1 Humbert |
R2 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-62 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 27 | 59 | |
| pts | 112-111 | 88-90 | 200-201 | |
| Total points | 223 | 178 | 401 | |
| Winners | 52 | 35 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 68/107 | 52/79 | 120/186 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 52/68 | 35/52 | 87/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 67% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 9/27 | 28/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 33% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Converted | 1/9 | 6/16 | 7/25 | |
| Converted % | 11% | 38% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 50% | 133% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLWLWW
LLWWWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tomas MachacMachac (3-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Valentin VacherotVacherot (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-3 3-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-66 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-5 6-74 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Marcos GironGiron (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Valentin VacherotVacherot (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-6(6) 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tomas MachacMachac (3-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
