Andrey Rublev and Arthur Fils will face off in the 3^rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT DES PRINCES. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.74
Arthur Fils -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Arthur Fils

This will be the 2^nd time that Andrey Rublev and Arthur Fils square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Rublev won 6-4 1-6 6-2 in the quarter in Hong kong back in 2024.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils – Hong kong 05-January-2024

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 9, Andrey got to the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Gael Monfils 6-4 7-6(2).

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Monfils (6-4 7-6²). During the match, Rublev scored 77 points vs Monfils’s 66. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Andrey Rublev was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (26/36) of his 1st serve and 63% (19/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Andrey broke Monfils 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (415-229). 1-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has an overall 97-57 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Doha where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.

Andrey has a compiled 10-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Arthur Fils

Ranked no. 15 (career-high), the French player reached the 3^rd round after beating Tallon Griekspoor 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 and Flavio Cobolli 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Fils had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-2 6-4). During the match Fils scored 62 points vs Cobolli’s 45. Arthur was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Fils scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Arthur Fils was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fils broke Cobolli 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Arthur has an overall 13-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Fils
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	23	49
Pts	77-66	186-152
Total Points	143	338
Winners	26	78
%Winners	34%	42%

Rublev played 1 match while Fils competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Arthur Fils dropped 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Fils (2 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 26 games less than Fils. Andrey scored 26 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Arthur recorded 78 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Fils
Aces	5	8
Avg per match	5	4
1st in	36/66	101/164
%1st in	55%	62%
1st pts	26/36	78/101
%1st pts	72%	77%
2nd pts	19/30	37/63
%2nd pts	63%	59%

Rublev bagged 5 aces . Fils bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Rublev won 72% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Fils won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Fils
Won	3	6
Converted	3/8	6/24
% Converted	38%	25%
Conceded	5	7
Saved	3	7
% Saved	60%	100%
Times Broken	2	0

Andrey broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Fils broke his opponents 6 times with a 25% conversion rate. The French player was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points.

Rublev
	R2 Monfils	Total
Score	6-4 7-62
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	23	23
pts	77-66	77-66
Total points	143	143
Winners	26	26
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	36/66	36/66
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	26/36	26/36
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	19/30	19/30
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/8	3/8
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Fils
	R1 Griekspoor	R2 Cobolli	Total
Score	6-73 6-4 6-2	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	31	18	49
pts	124-107	62-45	186-152
Total points	231	107	338
Winners	54	24	78
%Winners	44%	39%	42%
SERVE
Aces	7	1	8
Double Faults	6	1	7
1st in	69/111	32/53	101/164
% 1st in	62%	60%	62%
1st pts	54/69	24/32	78/101
% 1st pts	78%	75%	77%
2nd pts	23/42	14/21	37/63
% 2nd pts	55%	67%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/16	3/8	6/24
Converted %	19%	38%	25%
Conceded	5	2	7
Saved	5/5	2/2	7
Saved %	100%	100%	200%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

• Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-5 6-7⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6² 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 7-6²) – See score progression
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-3 3-6 10-7) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Marcos GironGiron (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-5 6-7(4) 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tomas MachacMachac (3-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 7-6(2)) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexandre MullerMuller (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction