Jack Draper and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT RAINIER III. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.54
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.48

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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

There is no head to head record between Jack Draper and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 6 (career-high), the Brit reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Marcos Giron 6-1 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Jack had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-1 6-1). During the match, Draper scored 57 points vs Giron’s 32. Draper was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Draper managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jack broke Giron 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Draper has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 69% of his matches (240-107). 1-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Draper has an aggregate25-19 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 6-2 6-2.

Jack has a composed 14-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranked no. 42, Davidovich Fokina got to the 3^rd round after defeating Ben Shelton 6-7(2) 6-2 6-1 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6(2) 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Davidovich Fokina had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (7-6² 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 85 points vs Etcheverry’s 67. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Davidovich Fokina struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Etcheverry 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Alejandro’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Delray Beach and Acapulco.

Alejandro has a compiled 16-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Draper	Davidovich Fokina
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	14	50
Pts	57-32	178-138
Total Points	89	316
Winners	22	61
%Winners	39%	34%

Draper played 1 match while Davidovich Fokina competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina dropped 1 set while Jack Draper hasn’t dropped a set so far. Draper has played 3 set(s) less than Davidovich Fokina (2 vs 5). Therefore, Draper played 36 games less than Davidovich Fokina. The Brit scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro recorded 61 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Draper	Davidovich Fokina
Aces	5	6
Avg per match	5	3
1st in	27/43	93/160
%1st in	63%	58%
1st pts	22/27	61/93
%1st pts	81%	66%
2nd pts	9/16	40/67
%2nd pts	56%	60%

Draper managed to score 5 aces . Davidovich Fokina made 6 aces (3 per match). Draper won 81% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Draper	Davidovich Fokina
Won	5	11
Converted	5/10	11/20
% Converted	50%	55%
Conceded	4	15
Saved	4	10
% Saved	100%	67%
Times Broken	0	5

Draper broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Draper extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 4 break points. Davidovich Fokina broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Draper
	R2 Giron	Total
Score	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	14	14
pts	57-32	57-32
Total points	89	89
Winners	22	22
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	27/43	27/43
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	22/27	22/27
% 1st pts	81%	81%
2nd pts	9/16	9/16
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/10	5/10
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	4/4	4
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Davidovich Fokina
	R1 Shelton	R2 Etcheverry	Total
Score	6-72 6-2 6-1	7-62 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	28	22	50
pts	93-71	85-67	178-138
Total points	164	152	316
Winners	30	31	61
%Winners	32%	36%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	6
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	52/90	41/70	93/160
% 1st in	58%	59%	58%
1st pts	30/52	31/41	61/93
% 1st pts	58%	76%	66%
2nd pts	23/38	17/29	40/67
% 2nd pts	61%	59%	60%
Breaks
Won	8	3	11
Converted	8/11	3/9	11/20
Converted %	73%	33%	55%
Conceded	7	8	15
Saved	3/7	7/8	10
Saved %	43%	88%	131%
Times Broken	4	1	5

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

• Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-5 6-7⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6² 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 7-6²) – See score progression
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-3 3-6 10-7) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Marcos GironGiron (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-5 6-7(4) 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tomas MachacMachac (3-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 7-6(2)) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexandre MullerMuller (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction