Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez and Luka Pavlovic will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on ESTADIO RAFAEL OSUNA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luka Pavlovic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luka Pavlovic is the pick to win this match.
Luka Pavlovic -> 1.57
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs. Luka Pavlovic

There is no head to head record between Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez and Luka Pavlovic since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Ranked no. 224 (career-high), Rodrigo reached the 2^nd round after defeating Alexis Galarneau 6-3 6-3.

In the 1^st round, The Mexican had a good straight sets win against Galarneau (6-3 6-3). During the match, Pacheco Mendez scored 63 points vs Galarneau’s 47. Rodrigo was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pacheco Mendez blasted 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (23/31) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pacheco Mendez broke Galarneau 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Pacheco Mendez has a winning win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 52% of his matches (66-60). 9-4 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pacheco Mendez has an overall30-32 match record in the last 4 years on clay.

Pacheco Mendez’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Antalya.

The Mexican has an overall 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Mexico City Challenger

Luka Pavlovic

Ranked no. 295 (career-high), Pavlovic got to the 2^nd round after beating Stefano Napolitano 7-6(5) 7-6(6).

In the 1^st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Napolitano (7-6⁵ 7-6⁶). During the match Pavlovic scored 81 points vs Napolitano’s 80. The French player was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Pavlovic overpowered his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Luka Pavlovic was very efficient on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 61% (27/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Napolitano once.

The French player best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Kigali 2 Challenger.

Luka has a composed 13-4 win-loss record in 2025, 13-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Mexico City Challenger

The French player has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pacheco Mendez	Pavlovic
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	26
Pts	63-47	81-80
Total Points	110	161
Winners	23	33
%Winners	37%	41%

Both Pacheco Mendez and Pavlovic played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pacheco Mendez and Pavlovic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pacheco Mendez played 8 games less than Pavlovic. The Mexican scored 23 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The French player scored 33 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pacheco Mendez	Pavlovic
Aces	2	20
Avg per match	2	20
1st in	31/48	42/86
%1st in	65%	49%
1st pts	23/31	33/42
%1st pts	74%	79%
2nd pts	11/17	27/44
%2nd pts	65%	61%

Pacheco Mendez recorded 2 aces . Pavlovic made 20 aces . Pacheco Mendez won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Pavlovic won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pacheco Mendez	Pavlovic
Won	4	1
Converted	4/9	1/1
% Converted	44%	100%
Conceded	4	3
Saved	3	2
% Saved	75%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Rodrigo broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Mexican conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Pavlovic broke his opponent once with a 100% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Pacheco Mendez
	R1 Galarneau	Total
Score	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	63-47	63-47
Total points	110	110
Winners	23	23
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	31/48	31/48
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	23/31	23/31
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	11/17	11/17
% 2nd pts	65%	65%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/9
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Pavlovic
	R1 Napolitano	Total
Score	7-65 7-66
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	26	26
pts	81-80	81-80
Total points	161	161
Winners	33	33
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	20	20
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	42/86	42/86
% 1st in	49%	49%
1st pts	33/42	33/42
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	27/44	27/44
% 2nd pts	61%	61%
Breaks
Won	1	1
Converted	1/1	1/1
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger

• Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Andres MartinMartin – Juan Carlos Manuel AguilarCarlos Manuel Aguilar (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Patrick ZahrajZahraj (7-6⁶ 6-1) – See score progression
• Aziz DougazDougaz – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Neil OberleitnerOberleitner – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-1 4-6 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Bernard TomicTomic – Tom ParisParis (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alfredo PerezPerez – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Aidan MayoMayo (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Nicolas MejiaMejia – Maxime CressyCressy (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Matias SotoSoto – Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (7-6⁵ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Darwin BlanchBlanch – Rodrigo AlujasAlujas (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Mateus AlvesAlves (6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (3-6 6-3 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Aidan MayoMayo (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Nicolas MejiaMejia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alfredo PerezPerez – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Neil OberleitnerOberleitner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Luka PavlovicPavlovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matias SotoSoto – Aziz DougazDougaz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano – Bernard TomicTomic (0-0) – H2H and prediction