
Frances Tiafoe and Alexei Popyrin will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on COURT 9. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.74
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.09
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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexei Popyrin
This will be the 2nd time that Frances Tiafoe and Alexei Popyrin face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Tiafoe won 6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 in the 4th round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.
Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Alexei Popyrin – U.S. Open 01-September-2024
Frances Tiafoe
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 12-10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, the American got to the 2nd round after defeating Miomir Kecmanovic 6-2 5-7 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, The American defeated Kecmanovic (6-2 5-7 7-65). During the match, Tiafoe scored 112 points vs Kecmanovic’s 109. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tiafoe fired 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 57% of his first serves in, winning 66% (41/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (26/47) on the 2nd serve. Tiafoe broke Kecmanovic 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Tiafoe has good match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (312-231). 4-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tiafoe has a compiled 66-48 record in the last years on clay.
Francis’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Houston.
The American has an aggregate 10-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Tiafoe has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexei Popyrin
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Popyrin reached the 2nd round after beating Ugo Humbert 3-6 7-6(2) 6-4.
In the 1st round against Humbert, The Australian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-62 6-4). During the match Popyrin scored 112 points vs Humbert’s 111. Alexei was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Popyrin fired 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Popyrin put 64% of his first serves in, winning 76% (52/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Popyrin broke Humbert once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).
Popyrin has a compiled 3-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Tiafoe | Popyrin |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
Tot Games | 33 | 32 |
Pts | 112-109 | 112-111 |
Total Points | 221 | 223 |
Winners | 41 | 52 |
%Winners | 37% | 46% |
Both Tiafoe and Popyrin played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Frances Tiafoe dropped 1 set, while Alexei Popyrin dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Tiafoe and Popyrin have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Tiafoe played 1 game more than Popyrin. Tiafoe scored 41 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Alexei struck 52 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Tiafoe | Popyrin |
---|---|---|
Aces | 7 | 3 |
Avg per match | 7 | 3 |
1st in | 62/109 | 68/107 |
%1st in | 57% | 64% |
1st pts | 41/62 | 52/68 |
%1st pts | 66% | 76% |
2nd pts | 26/47 | 19/39 |
%2nd pts | 55% | 49% |
Tiafoe managed to score 7 aces . Popyrin bagged 3 aces . Tiafoe won 66% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Tiafoe | Popyrin |
---|---|---|
Won | 4 | 1 |
Converted | 4/11 | 1/9 |
% Converted | 36% | 11% |
Conceded | 8 | 6 |
Saved | 5 | 5 |
% Saved | 63% | 83% |
Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Tiafoe broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Francis lost his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Popyrin broke his opponent once with a 11% conversion rate. Alexei conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
Tiafoe | |||
R1 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 5-7 7-65 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
pts | 112-109 | 112-109 | |
Total points | 221 | 221 | |
Winners | 41 | 41 | |
%Winners | 37% | 37% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 7 | 7 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 62/109 | 62/109 | |
% 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
1st pts | 41/62 | 41/62 | |
% 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
2nd pts | 26/47 | 26/47 | |
% 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Popyrin | |||
R1 Humbert |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 3-6 7-62 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
pts | 112-111 | 112-111 | |
Total points | 223 | 223 | |
Winners | 52 | 52 | |
%Winners | 46% | 46% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 3 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
1st in | 68/107 | 68/107 | |
% 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
1st pts | 52/68 | 52/68 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 19/39 | 19/39 | |
% 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 1 | 1 | |
Converted | 1/9 | 1/9 | |
Converted % | 11% | 11% | |
Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Head 2 Head



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