Valentin Royer and August Holmgren will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Madrid Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on PISTA MERCEDES-BENZ . In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Valentin Royer who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Valentin Royer is the pick to win this match.
Valentin Royer -> 1.24
August Holmgren -> 3.72

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Prediction and head to head Valentin Royer vs. August Holmgren

This will be the 3^rd time that Valentin Royer and August Holmgren fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Royer won 4-6 6-3 7-6(4) in the 1^st round in the Roanne Challenger back in 2024.

Valentin Royer

Ranked no. 116 (career-high), Valentin got to the 2^nd round after defeating Nick Hardt 7-6(5) 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Royer had a good straight sets win against Hardt (7-6⁵ 6-2). During the match, Royer scored 89 points vs Hardt’s 77. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Royer scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Valentin Royer lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Royer put 51% of his first serves in, winning 73% (30/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. Valentin broke Hardt 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Royer has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (232-123). 18-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Royer has a composed122-52 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Kigali 1 Challenger where he beat Andrej Martin in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Kigali 2 Challenger where he beat Guy Den Ouden in the final 6-2 6-4.

Royer has a compiled 24-7 win-loss record in 2025, 18-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

Valentin has never competed in this tournament before.

August Holmgren

Ranked no. 203, August reached the 2^nd round after defeating Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(3).

In the 1^st round, The Dane defeated Virtanen (6-3 6-7⁵ 7-6³). During the match Holmgren scored 131 points vs Virtanen’s 122. The Dane was very aggressive to blast 58 winners.

About the serving games, Holmgren recorded 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 69% of his first serves in, winning 61% (58/95) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (24/42) on the 2nd serve. August broke Virtanen 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

The Dane has a compiled 4-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Royer	Holmgren
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	21	35
Pts	89-77	131-122
Total Points	166	253
Winners	30	58
%Winners	34%	44%

Both Royer and Holmgren played 1 match. At the moment, August Holmgren surrendered 1 set while Valentin Royer hasn’t dropped a set so far. Royer has played 1 set(s) less than Holmgren (2 vs 3). Therefore, Royer played 14 games less than Holmgren. Royer scored 30 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Holmgren bagged 58 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Royer	Holmgren
Aces	4	4
Avg per match	4	4
1st in	41/81	95/137
%1st in	51%	69%
1st pts	30/41	58/95
%1st pts	73%	61%
2nd pts	20/40	24/42
%2nd pts	50%	57%

Royer recorded 4 aces . Holmgren made 4 aces . Royer won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 61% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Royer	Holmgren
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/11
% Converted	33%	36%
Conceded	6	12
Saved	4	9
% Saved	67%	75%
Times Broken	2	3

Valentin broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Royer conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Dane broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Royer
	R1 Hardt	Total
Score	7-65 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	89-77	89-77
Total points	166	166
Winners	30	30
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	41/81	41/81
% 1st in	51%	51%
1st pts	30/41	30/41
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	20/40	20/40
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/12
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	4/6	4
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	2	2

Holmgren
	R1 Virtanen	Total
Score	6-3 6-75 7-63
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	35	35
pts	131-122	131-122
Total points	253	253
Winners	58	58
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	95/137	95/137
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	58/95	58/95
% 1st pts	61%	61%
2nd pts	24/42	24/42
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/11	4/11
Converted %	36%	36%
Conceded	12	12
Saved	9/12	9
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Madrid Challenger

• Norbert GombosGombos – Miguel DamasDamas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Pavel KotovKotov – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Marin CilicCilic – Ignacio BuseBuse (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Nick HardtHardt (7-6⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Jakub PaulPaul (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Carlos TabernerTaberner – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Calvin HemeryHemery – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Zsombor PirosPiros – Daniel RinconRincon (7-6² 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Billy HarrisHarris (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Hugo DellienDellien (7-6¹ 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Edas ButvilasButvilas (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Vilius GaubasGaubas – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• August HolmgrenHolmgren – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-7⁵ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Borna CoricCoric – Alexander BlockxBlockx (6-1 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Marin CilicCilic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Calvin HemeryHemery (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Norbert GombosGombos – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Borna CoricCoric – Zsombor PirosPiros (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos TabernerTaberner – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Pavel KotovKotov – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• August HolmgrenHolmgren – Valentin RoyerRoyer (1-1) – H2H and prediction