Pavel Kotov and Alejandro Moro Canas will face off in the 2nd round of the Madrid Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on PISTA CENTRAL C.MADRID. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Pavel Kotov is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.55
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 2.33

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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Alejandro Moro Canas

There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Alejandro Moro Canas since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Pavel Kotov

Pavel Kotov

7 - 10win/loss

Hard
5-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-1
Rank
136
High
50
LLLLWWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 7-14 5-9 2-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 20-25 9-11 11-9 0-4 0-1 0-0
2023 45-32 13-14 20-12 9-2 3-4 0-0
2022 37-20 5-3 20-9 12-8 0-0 0-0
2021 29-25 5-5 7-11 17-9 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 124, Pavel reached the 2nd round after defeating Benjamin Hassan 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Hassan (6-4 6-4). During the match, Kotov scored 68 points vs Hassan’s 58. Kotov was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kotov managed to score 5 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (37/52) of his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kotov broke Hassan 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Kotov has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (278-195). 1-1 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kotov has a compiled 122-81 record in the last years on clay.

The Russian has a compiled 6-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

Madrid Challenger
Kotov's Record

Alejandro Moro Canas

Alejandro Moro Canas

10 - 10win/loss

Hard
8-5
I Hard
0-2
Clay
2-3
Rank
197
High
142
LLLWLWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-14 8-5 4-7 0-2 0-0 0-0
2024 35-28 11-8 17-13 3-5 4-2 0-0
2023 39-31 17-11 17-15 5-4 0-1 0-0
2022 40-18 20-8 20-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 35-16 30-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 156, Moro reached the 2nd round after beating Edas Butvilas 6-3 6-3.

In the 1st round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Butvilas (6-3 6-3). During the match Moro scored 63 points vs Butvilas’s 49. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Moro was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Butvilas 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Moro’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

Moro has an aggregate 10-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.

Madrid Challenger
Moro's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

P.Kotov
A.Moro Canas
1h:27
1h:27
Time on court​
1h:20
1h:20
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:20
1h:20
1
1
Match played
1
1
20
20
Games Played​
18
18
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
68
68
Total points​
63
63
68
68
Avg point​
63
63
37
37
Winners
28
28
37
37
Avg Winners​
28
28
54%
54%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
0
0
5
5
Avg Aces
0
0
0
0
Double Faults
2
2
0
0
Avg Double Faults
2
2
37/52
37/52
1st won total​
28/36
28/36
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
8/15
8/15
2nd won total​
10/16
10/16
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
3/4
3/4
BP won
3/7
3/7
3/4
3/4
Avg BP won
3/7
3/7
!
75%
75%
Won
43%
43%
5
5
Conceded
2
2
5
5
Avg Conceded
2
2
1
1
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
4
4
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kotov Moro
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 18
Pts 68-58 63-49
Total Points 126 112
Winners 37 28
%Winners 54% 44%

Both Kotov and Moro played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kotov and Moro have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kotov played 2 games more than Moro. Pavel scored 37 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Moro managed to score 28 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kotov Moro
Aces 5 0
Avg per match 5 0
1st in 52/67 36/52
%1st in 78% 69%
1st pts 37/52 28/36
%1st pts 71% 78%
2nd pts 8/15 10/16
%2nd pts 53% 63%

Kotov scored 5 aces . Moro didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kotov won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Moro won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kotov Moro
Won 3 3
Converted 3/4 3/7
% Converted 75% 43%
Conceded 5 2
Saved 4 2
% Saved 80% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Pavel broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Alejandro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Kotov
R1
Hassan
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 68-58 68-58
Total points 126 126
Winners 37 37
%Winners 54% 54%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 52/67 52/67
% 1st in 78% 78%
1st pts 37/52 37/52
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 8/15 8/15
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/4 3/4
Converted % 75% 75%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Moro
R1
Butvilas
Total
Score 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 63-49 63-49
Total points 112 112
Winners 28 28
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 36/52 36/52
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 28/36 28/36
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 10/16 10/16
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Madrid Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw