Pavel Kotov and Alejandro Moro Canas will face off in the 2nd round of the Madrid Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on PISTA CENTRAL C.MADRID. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.55
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 2.33
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Alejandro Moro Canas
There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Alejandro Moro Canas since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Pavel Kotov
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 124, Pavel reached the 2nd round after defeating Benjamin Hassan 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Hassan (6-4 6-4). During the match, Kotov scored 68 points vs Hassan’s 58. Kotov was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kotov managed to score 5 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (37/52) of his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kotov broke Hassan 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Kotov has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (278-195). 1-1 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kotov has a compiled 122-81 record in the last years on clay.
The Russian has a compiled 6-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Alejandro Moro Canas
10 - 10win/loss
197
142
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 12-14 | 8-5 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 35-28 | 11-8 | 17-13 | 3-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 39-31 | 17-11 | 17-15 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 40-18 | 20-8 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 35-16 | 30-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 156, Moro reached the 2nd round after beating Edas Butvilas 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Butvilas (6-3 6-3). During the match Moro scored 63 points vs Butvilas’s 49. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Moro was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Butvilas 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Moro’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
Moro has an aggregate 10-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Kotov | Moro |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 20 | 18 |
Pts | 68-58 | 63-49 |
Total Points | 126 | 112 |
Winners | 37 | 28 |
%Winners | 54% | 44% |
Both Kotov and Moro played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kotov and Moro have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kotov played 2 games more than Moro. Pavel scored 37 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Moro managed to score 28 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Kotov | Moro |
---|---|---|
Aces | 5 | 0 |
Avg per match | 5 | 0 |
1st in | 52/67 | 36/52 |
%1st in | 78% | 69% |
1st pts | 37/52 | 28/36 |
%1st pts | 71% | 78% |
2nd pts | 8/15 | 10/16 |
%2nd pts | 53% | 63% |
Kotov scored 5 aces . Moro didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kotov won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Moro won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Kotov | Moro |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 3 |
Converted | 3/4 | 3/7 |
% Converted | 75% | 43% |
Conceded | 5 | 2 |
Saved | 4 | 2 |
% Saved | 80% | 100% |
Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Pavel broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Alejandro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
Kotov | |||
R1 Hassan | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
pts | 68-58 | 68-58 | |
Total points | 126 | 126 | |
Winners | 37 | 37 | |
%Winners | 54% | 54% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 5 | 5 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 52/67 | 52/67 | |
% 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
1st pts | 37/52 | 37/52 | |
% 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
2nd pts | 8/15 | 8/15 | |
% 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Moro | |||
R1 Butvilas | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
pts | 63-49 | 63-49 | |
Total points | 112 | 112 | |
Winners | 28 | 28 | |
%Winners | 44% | 44% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 0 | 0 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 36/52 | 36/52 | |
% 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
1st pts | 28/36 | 28/36 | |
% 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
2nd pts | 10/16 | 10/16 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Tennis Scores in Madrid Challenger
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Zsombor PirosPiros – Daniel RinconRincon (7-62 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Billy HarrisHarris (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Hugo DellienDellien (7-61 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Edas ButvilasButvilas (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Norbert GombosGombos – Miguel DamasDamas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Ignacio BuseBuse (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Nick HardtHardt (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Jakub PaulPaul (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- August HolmgrenHolmgren – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-75 7-63) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Alexander BlockxBlockx (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Marin CilicCilic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Calvin HemeryHemery (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Norbert GombosGombos – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Zsombor PirosPiros (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- August HolmgrenHolmgren – Valentin RoyerRoyer (1-1) – H2H and prediction