Daniil Medvedev and Alexandre Muller will play each other in the 2^nd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III . In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.48
Alexandre Muller -> 2.65

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexandre Muller

This will be the 3^rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Alexandre Muller square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-4 7-5 in the 2^nd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2024.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alexandre Muller – Wimbledon 03-July-2024

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 11, Daniil reached the 2^nd round after defeating Karen Khachanov 7-5 4-6 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Daniil defeated Khachanov (7-5 4-6 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 113 points vs Khachanov’s 102. Daniil was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev scored 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 8 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 50% of his first serves in, winning 73% (35/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (16/48) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Khachanov 9 times after converting 45% of his break points (9/20).

Medvedev has a marvellous record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (470-189). 1-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 52-36 match record in the last years on clay.

Medvedev’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Marseille and Indian Wells.

Daniil has a compiled 13-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Alexandre Muller

Ranked no. 39 (career-high), Alexandre reached the 2^nd round after beating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Ugo Carabelli (6-4 6-4). During the match Muller scored 69 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 57. Alexandre was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Muller scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexandre Muller was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Ugo Carabelli twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Kei Nishikori in the final 2-6 6-1 6-3.

Alexandre has an overall 14-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Medvedev	Muller
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	32	20
Pts	113-102	69-57
Total Points	215	126
Winners	35	31
%Winners	31%	45%

Both Medvedev and Muller played 1 match. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev conceded 1 set while Alexandre Muller hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set more than Muller (3 vs 2). Therefore, Medvedev played 12 games more than Muller. Daniil scored 35 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandre blasted 31 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Medvedev	Muller
Aces	4	2
Avg per match	4	2
1st in	48/96	42/63
%1st in	50%	67%
1st pts	35/48	31/42
%1st pts	73%	74%
2nd pts	16/48	14/21
%2nd pts	33%	67%

Medvedev made 4 aces . Muller recorded 2 aces . Medvedev won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Medvedev	Muller
Won	9	2
Converted	9/20	2/4
% Converted	45%	50%
Conceded	16	3
Saved	8	3
% Saved	50%	100%
Times Broken	8	0

The Russian broke his opponent 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Muller broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. The French player was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Medvedev
	R1 Khachanov	Total
Score	7-5 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	113-102	113-102
Total points	215	215
Winners	35	35
%Winners	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	48/96	48/96
% 1st in	50%	50%
1st pts	35/48	35/48
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	16/48	16/48
% 2nd pts	33%	33%
Breaks
Won	9	9
Converted	9/20	9/20
Converted %	45%	45%
Conceded	16	16
Saved	8/16	8
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	8	8

Muller
	R1 Ugo	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	69-57	69-57
Total points	126	126
Winners	31	31
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	42/63	42/63
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	31/42	31/42
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	14/21	14/21
% 2nd pts	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/4	2/4
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	3/3	3
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-6 6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

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