Vilius Gaubas and Lorenzo Giustino will face off in the 1^st round of the Madrid Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:30 PM on PISTA E.MANDARINO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Vilius Gaubas who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Vilius Gaubas is the pick to win this match.
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.38
Lorenzo Giustino -> 2.85

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Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Lorenzo Giustino

This will be the 2^nd time that Vilius Gaubas and Lorenzo Giustino play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Gaubas (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Gaubas won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2024.

Vilius Gaubas

Ranked no. 149 (career-high), Vilius will start his run in the Madrid Challenger after he won the title in the Menorca Challenger after beating 6-0 6-4 Martin in the final.

Vilius has an overall 8-9 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Menorca Challenger where he defeated Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.

Gaubas won his last 5 matches.

Talking about his overall career, Gaubas has an overall 137-93 record. He has a positive 117-67 record on clay.

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

Lorenzo Giustino

Ranked no. 305, Giustino reached the 1^st round after beating Giovanni Fonio 6-3 6-4 and Javier Barranco Cosano 4-6 6-3 6-1.

In the qualifications against Barranco Cosano, Lorenzo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Giustino scored 84 points vs Barranco Cosano’s 70. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Giustino managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Giustino lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Giustino put 65% of his first serves in, winning 75% (40/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Barranco Cosano 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Lorenzo’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Badalona.

Giustino has a composed 10-8 win-loss record in 2025, 7-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Madrid Challenger

• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• August HolmgrenHolmgren – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-7⁵ 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Borna CoricCoric – Alexander BlockxBlockx (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Jakub PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Calvin HemeryHemery – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Hugo DellienDellien (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Billy HarrisHarris – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos TabernerTaberner – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Miguel DamasDamas – Norbert GombosGombos (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pavel KotovKotov – Benjamin HassanHassan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon – Valentin RoyerRoyer (1-0) – H2H and prediction