Tom Paris and Alfredo Perez will face off in the qualifications of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tom Paris who should win in 3 sets.
Tom Paris -> 1.75
Alfredo Perez -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Tom Paris vs. Alfredo Perez
There is no head to head record between Tom Paris and Alfredo Perez since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Tom Paris
17 - 7win/loss
440
440
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-7 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2024 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 5-7 | 10-4 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 440 (career-high), Tom reached the qualifications after beating Yuki Mochizuki 6-1 6-1.
In the qualifications, Paris had a good straight sets win against Mochizuki (6-1 6-1). During the match, Paris scored 55 points vs Mochizuki’s 25. Tom was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paris fired 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tom Paris lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Paris put 54% of his first serves in, winning 90% (19/21) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Paris broke Mochizuki 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Paris has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (81-48). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Paris has an aggregate11-6 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
Paris’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Oslo and M25 Nussloch.
Paris has an overall 17-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Tom has never competed in this tournament before.
Alfredo Perez
21 - 5win/loss
500
463
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-5 | 17-4 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-9 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-25 | 18-16 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-22 | 22-11 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-12 | 20-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 500, the American reached the qualifications after defeating Stefan Dostanic 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Perez had a good straight sets win against Dostanic (6-4 6-2). During the match Perez scored 67 points vs Dostanic’s 58. Alfredo was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Perez recorded 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alfredo Perez conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Perez put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (30/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Dostanic 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Alfredo’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Huamantla.
The American has a composed 21-5 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paris | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 18 |
| Pts | 55-25 | 67-58 |
| Total Points | 80 | 125 |
| Winners | 19 | 30 |
| %Winners | 35% | 45% |
Both Paris and Perez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Paris and Perez have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Paris played 4 games less than Perez. The French player scored 19 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Alfredo made 30 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paris | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 21/39 | 45/77 |
| %1st in | 54% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 19/21 | 30/45 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 18/32 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 56% |
Paris managed to score 3 aces . Perez scored 2 aces . Paris won 90% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Perez won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paris | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 67% | 60% |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 80% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The French player broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Tom lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Perez broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Paris | |||
| Q1 Mochizuki | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 55-25 | 55-25 | |
| Total points | 80 | 80 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 21/39 | 21/39 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 19/21 | 19/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 9/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Perez | |||
| Q1 Dostanic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 67-58 | 67-58 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 45/77 | 45/77 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/45 | 30/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 18/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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