Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar and Vladyslav Orlov will face off in the qualifications of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar -> 1.8
Vladyslav Orlov -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar vs. Vladyslav Orlov
There is no head to head record between Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar and Vladyslav Orlov since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
12 - 6win/loss
467
464
LWWLWLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-10 | 8-3 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-13 | 14-6 | 3-2 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-24 | 7-10 | 11-7 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-11 | 1-5 | 12-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 473 (career-high), the Canadian reached the qualifications after defeating Rafael De Alba 6-0 6-4.
In the qualifications, Carlos Manuel Aguilar had a good straight sets win against De Alba (6-0 6-4). During the match, Carlos Manuel Aguilar scored 58 points vs De Alba’s 37. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carlos Manuel Aguilar struck 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (17/21) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Juan broke De Alba 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Carlos Manuel Aguilar has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (110-81). 2-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carlos Manuel Aguilar has an overall 31-19 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Canadian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Kingston.
The Canadian has an aggregate 11-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
Vladyslav Orlov
11 - 10win/loss
591
350
LLWLWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-12 | 7-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-29 | 12-11 | 22-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-39 | 23-21 | 14-17 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-24 | 22-8 | 16-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-33 | 6-7 | 21-21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 574, the Ukrainian reached the qualifications after beating Govind Nanda 6-1 5-7 6-3.
In the qualifications, Vladyslav defeated Nanda (6-1 5-7 6-3). During the match Orlov scored 96 points vs Nanda’s 76. Orlov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Orlov scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Vladyslav Orlov lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Orlov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (22/32) on the 2nd serve. Orlov broke Nanda 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Vladyslav’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M15 Monastir.
The Ukrainian has an overall 11-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carlos Manuel Aguilar | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 |
| Pts | 58-37 | 96-76 |
| Total Points | 95 | 172 |
| Winners | 17 | 36 |
| %Winners | 29% | 38% |
Both Carlos Manuel Aguilar and Orlov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Vladyslav Orlov conceded 1 set while Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar hasn’t conceded a set so far. Carlos Manuel Aguilar has played 1 set(s) less than Orlov (2 vs 3). Therefore, Carlos Manuel Aguilar played 12 games less than Orlov. Carlos Manuel Aguilar scored 17 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Vladyslav blasted 36 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carlos Manuel Aguilar | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 21/48 | 53/85 |
| %1st in | 44% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 36/53 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 22/32 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 69% |
Carlos Manuel Aguilar scored 2 aces . Orlov managed to score 1 ace . Carlos Manuel Aguilar won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Orlov won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carlos Manuel Aguilar | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 63% | 63% |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Carlos Manuel Aguilar broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Juan dropped his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Orlov broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carlos Manuel Aguilar | |||
| Q1 De Alba |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 58-37 | 58-37 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 21/48 | 21/48 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 44% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 17/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 15/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Orlov | |||
| Q1 Nanda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 96-76 | 96-76 | |
| Total points | 172 | 172 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 53/85 | 53/85 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 36/53 | 36/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/32 | 22/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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