Corentin Denolly and Patrick Maloney will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Sarasota Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 14. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Corentin Denolly who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Corentin Denolly is the pick to win this match.
Corentin Denolly -> 1.74
Patrick Maloney -> 2
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Corentin Denolly vs. Patrick Maloney
This will be the 2nd time that Corentin Denolly and Patrick Maloney face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Denolly (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Denolly won 6-1 6-2 in the semifinal in M15 Orange Park back in 2024.
Corentin Denolly
9 - 9win/loss
328
289
WLWWWLWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-9 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-23 | 0-0 | 55-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-18 | 0-0 | 32-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 2-4 | 23-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 328, Denolly got to the qualifications after defeating Benjamin Willwerth 4-6 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications against Willwerth, Corentin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-3). During the match, Denolly scored 88 points vs Willwerth’s 72. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Denolly scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 6 double faults. Corentin Denolly lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Denolly put 66% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (9/26) on the 2nd serve. Denolly broke Willwerth 8 times after converting 53% of his break points (8/15).
Denolly has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (381-217). 5-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Denolly has a composed 283-141 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Corentin has a composed 9-9 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sarasota Challenger
Patrick Maloney
18 - 6win/loss
390
390
WLWLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-6 | 1-2 | 7-4 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-21 | 18-10 | 7-2 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-8 | 5-3 | 1-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-10 | 4-3 | 7-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 390 (career-high), Patrick reached the qualifications after defeating Sebastian Gima 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Gima (6-1 6-4). During the match Maloney scored 65 points vs Gima’s 48. Maloney was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Maloney recorded 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Patrick Maloney lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Maloney put 55% of his first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Patrick broke Gima 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Ithaca and M15 Sherbrooke.
Patrick has an overall 18-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sarasota Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Denolly | Maloney |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 |
| Pts | 88-72 | 65-48 |
| Total Points | 160 | 113 |
| Winners | 34 | 29 |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% |
Both Denolly and Maloney played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Corentin Denolly surrendered 1 set while Patrick Maloney hasn’t conceded a set so far. Denolly has played 1 set more than Maloney (3 vs 2). Therefore, Denolly played 9 games more than Maloney. Corentin scored 34 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 29 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Denolly | Maloney |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 51/77 | 36/65 |
| %1st in | 66% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 29/36 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 9/26 | 12/29 |
| %2nd pts | 35% | 41% |
Denolly made 1 ace . Maloney also bagged 2 aces . Denolly won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Maloney won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Denolly | Maloney |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 4 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 53% | 67% |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 55% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Corentin broke his opponent 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Corentin dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Maloney broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Denolly | |||
| Q1 Willwerth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 88-72 | 88-72 | |
| Total points | 160 | 160 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/77 | 51/77 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 34/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/26 | 9/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 35% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/15 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Maloney | |||
| Q1 Gima |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 65-48 | 65-48 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 36/65 | 36/65 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 29/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 12/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLWLLL
WLWLLWWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo MenaMena – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karue SellSell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tung-Lin WuWu – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Patrick MaloneyMaloney (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Liam DraxlDraxl – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chris RodeschRodesch – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Garrett JohnsJohns – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Andres AndradeAndrade (2-0) – H2H and prediction
