Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar will square off in the 1st round of the Madrid Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:00 pm on PISTA MERCEDES-BENZ. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marco Trungelliti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marco Trungelliti is the pick to win this match.
Marco Trungelliti -> 1.727
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 2.02

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Prediction and head to head Marco Trungelliti vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar

This will be the 2nd time that Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar face off. The head to head is 1-0

for Trungelliti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Trungelliti won 6-3 6-4 in the qualifications in Gijon back in 2022.

Marco Trungelliti

Marco Trungelliti

5 - 9win/loss

Hard
2-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-6
Rank
130
High
112
LWWWLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-29 4-5 42-19 0-3 1-2 0-0
2024 45-28 12-11 31-15 1-1 1-1 0-0
2023 38-29 7-8 30-19 1-1 0-1 0-0
2022 23-16 4-3 16-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2021 27-16 4-2 20-11 0-2 3-1 0-0

Ranked no. 163, Marco will start his run in the Madrid Challenger after he played his last match in Marrakech where he lost 6-4 6-3 to Majchrzak in the qualifications on the 30th of March.

Trungelliti has a compiled 5-9 win-loss record in 2025, 3-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Talking about his overall career, Trungelliti has an overall 502-357 record. He has a positive 389-244 record on clay.

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.

Madrid Challenger
Trungelliti's Record

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Daniel Merida Aguilar

11 - 6win/loss

Hard
5-2
I Hard
0-2
Clay
6-2
Rank
165
High
163
LWWWLWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-25 15-5 35-16 0-4 0-0 0-0
2024 57-33 17-9 40-23 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 37-31 16-13 20-17 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 29-26 8-9 21-16 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 12-14 1-4 11-10 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 337, Merida will start his run in the Madrid Challenger after he played his last match in the Menorca Challenger where he lost 3-6 7-5 6-0 to Taberner in the 2nd round on the 3rd of April.

Daniel has a composed 11-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Merida’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Doha.

In terms of his career, Daniel has an overall 147-113 record. He has a positive 99-71 record on clay.

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

Madrid Challenger
Merida's Record

Upcoming matches in the draw