Frances Tiafoe and Jenson Brooksby will fight against each other in the final of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.54
Jenson Brooksby -> 2.48

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Jenson Brooksby

This will be the 3^rd time that Frances Tiafoe and Jenson Brooksby face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Brooksby (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Brooksby won 6-1 6-4 in the semifinal in Atlanta back in 2022.

Highlights Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoe – Atlanta 30-July-2022

Frances Tiafoe

Ranked no. 17, Francis got to the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Adam Walton 7-5 6-3, Alex Michelsen 7-5 6-1 and Brandon Nakashima 6-4 7-6(3).

In the semifinal, Francis had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-4 7-6³). During the match, Tiafoe scored 77 points vs Nakashima’s 64. Francis was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tiafoe scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Francis broke Nakashima 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Tiafoe has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (311-230). 3-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tiafoe has a compiled 65-47 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Houston.

The American has an aggregate 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Jenson Brooksby

Ranked no. 507, the American reached the final after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4, Patrick Maloney 6-4 6-2, Taro Daniel 6-4 6-4, Alejandro Tabilo 3-6 6-4 7-6(6), Aleksandar Kovacevic 2-6 6-3 6-4 and Tommy Paul 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(6).

In the semifinal, The American defeated Paul (7-6⁵ 3-6 7-6⁶).During the match Brooksby scored less points (8) than Paul. In fact, the world no. 17 won 106 points vs Paul’s. That means that Brooksby was more focused during the important points. The American was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about serving, Brooksby wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Jenson Brooksby lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Brooksby put 68% of his first serves in, winning 62% (46/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Paul 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jenson started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Brooksby’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Houston.

The American has an overall 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tiafoe	Brooksby
Match played	3	6
Tot Set	6	16
Tot Games	63	164
Pts	225-176	538-511
Total Points	401	1049
Winners	73	214
%Winners	32%	40%

Tiafoe played 3 matches while Brooksby competed in 6 matches. Brooksby started his run from the qualifications while Tiafoe had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jenson Brooksby surrendered 4 sets while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tiafoe has played 10 set(s) less than Brooksby (6 vs 16). Therefore, Tiafoe played 101 games less than Brooksby. The American scored 73 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Jenson made 214 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tiafoe	Brooksby
Aces	12	15
Avg per match	4	2.5
1st in	95/171	308/496
%1st in	56%	62%
1st pts	73/95	214/308
%1st pts	77%	69%
2nd pts	44/76	101/188
%2nd pts	58%	54%

Tiafoe bagged 12 aces (4 per match). Brooksby managed to score 15 aces (2.5 per match). Tiafoe won 77% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Brooksby won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tiafoe	Brooksby
Won	13	21
Converted	13/34	21/49
% Converted	38%	43%
Conceded	10	40
Saved	4	24
% Saved	40%	60%
Times Broken	6	16

Francis broke his opponents 13 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 6 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Brooksby broke his opponents 21 times with a 43% conversion rate. Brooksby conceded his serve 16 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Tiafoe
	R2 Walton	1/4 Michelsen	1/2 Nakashima	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	7-5 6-1	6-4 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	21	19	23	63
pts	72-54	76-58	77-64	225-176
Total points	126	134	141	401
Winners	22	26	25	73
%Winners	31%	34%	32%	32%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	4	12
Double Faults	2	2	1	5
1st in	26/53	33/58	36/60	95/171
% 1st in	49%	57%	60%	56%
1st pts	22/26	26/33	25/36	73/95
% 1st pts	85%	79%	69%	77%
2nd pts	17/27	14/25	13/24	44/76
% 2nd pts	63%	56%	54%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	13
Converted	4/8	4/16	5/10	13/34
Converted %	50%	25%	50%	38%
Conceded	2	3	5	10
Saved	1/2	2/3	1/5	4
Saved %	50%	67%	20%	46%
Times Broken	1	1	4	6

Brooksby
	Q1 Agustin	Q3 Maloney	R1 Daniel	R2 Tabilo	1/4 Kovacevic	1/2 Paul	Total
Score	3-6 7-65 6-4	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-4	3-6 6-4 7-66	2-6 6-3 6-4	7-65 3-6 7-66
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	3	3	16
Tot Games	32	18	20	32	27	35	164
pts	108-108	60-44	67-52	108-106	89-87	106-114	538-511
Total points	216	104	119	214	176	220	1049
Winners	39	27	23	45	34	46	214
%Winners	36%	45%	34%	42%	38%	43%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	2	4	4	0	0	15
Double Faults	6	3	1	3	3	2	18
1st in	61/96	31/53	30/53	57/99	55/86	74/109	308/496
% 1st in	64%	58%	57%	58%	64%	68%	62%
1st pts	39/61	27/31	23/30	45/57	34/55	46/74	214/308
% 1st pts	64%	87%	77%	79%	62%	62%	69%
2nd pts	18/35	12/22	18/23	19/42	16/31	18/35	101/188
% 2nd pts	51%	55%	78%	45%	52%	51%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	3	2	3	5	4	21
Converted	4/11	3/3	2/5	3/10	5/11	4/9	21/49
Converted %	36%	100%	40%	30%	45%	44%	43%
Conceded	8	3	0	7	11	11	40
Saved	4/8	3/3	0/0	4/7	7/11	6/11	24
Saved %	50%	100%	–	57%	64%	55%	109%
Times Broken	4	0	0	3	4	5	16

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-0) – H2H and prediction