Marc-Andrea Huesler and Dmitry Popko will square off in the final of the Cuernavaca Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on ESTADIO METAXCHANGE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marc-Andrea Huesler who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marc-Andrea Huesler is the pick to win this match.
Marc-Andrea Huesler -> 1.75
Dmitry Popko -> 1.99

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Marc-Andrea Huesler vs. Dmitry Popko

There is no head to head record between Marc-Andrea Huesler and Dmitry Popko since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Marc-Andrea Huesler

Ranked no. 168, the Swiss reached the final after beating Viktor Durasovic 3-6 6-4 7-5, Maximilian Neuchrist 6-4 6-2, Aidan Mayo 3-6 6-1 6-4 and Rafael Jodar 4-6 7-5 6-2.

In the semifinal against Jodar, Huesler recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-2). During the match, Huesler scored 98 points vs Jodar’s 85. Huesler was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Regarding the service games, Huesler managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Marc-Andrea Huesler was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (48/59) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Marc-Andrea broke Jodar 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marc-Andrea has lost 3 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Huesler has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (298-240). 8-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Huesler has an aggregate 97-71 match record in the last years on hard.

Huesler’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Cuernavaca Challenger.

The Swiss has a composed 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger

Marc-Andrea has never competed in this tournament before.

Dmitry Popko

Ranked no. 175, the Kazakhstani reached the final after beating Felipe Meligeni Alves 6-3 7-6(2), Max Wiskandt 7-5 6-7(4) 7-6(5), Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-1 6-1 and Alexis Galarneau 6-2 7-5.

In the semifinal, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Galarneau (6-2 7-5). During the match Popko scored 67 points vs Galarneau’s 47. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Popko blasted 6 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Dmitry Popko was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dmitry broke Galarneau 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Popko has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Morelia Challenger where he defeated James Duckworth in the final 1-6 6-2 6-4.

Dmitry has a composed 14-10 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Huesler	Popko
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	11	9
Tot Games	105	94
Pts	342-298	321-254
Total Points	640	575
Winners	141	129
%Winners	41%	40%

Both Huesler and Popko played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Marc-Andrea Huesler lost 3 sets, while Dmitry Popko dropped 1 set. Huesler has played 2 sets more than Popko (11 vs 9). Therefore, Huesler played 11 games more than Popko. The Swiss scored 141 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Dmitry fired 129 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Huesler	Popko
Aces	32	29
Avg per match	8	7.3
1st in	176/308	158/273
%1st in	57%	58%
1st pts	141/176	129/158
%1st pts	80%	82%
2nd pts	65/132	69/115
%2nd pts	49%	60%

Huesler recorded 32 aces (8 per match). Popko bagged 29 aces (7.3 per match). Huesler won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Popko won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Huesler	Popko
Won	16	13
Converted	16/33	13/30
% Converted	48%	43%
Conceded	17	11
Saved	9	8
% Saved	53%	73%
Times Broken	8	3

The Swiss broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. Huesler conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Popko broke his opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Popko conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Huesler
	R1 Durasovic	R2 Neuchrist	1/4 Mayo	1/2 Jodar	Total
Score	3-6 6-4 7-5	6-4 6-2	3-6 6-1 6-4	4-6 7-5 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	3	3	11
Tot Games	31	18	26	30	105
pts	101-97	61-42	82-74	98-85	342-298
Total points	198	103	156	183	640
Winners	34	23	36	48	141
%Winners	34%	38%	44%	49%	41%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	4	12	32
Double Faults	7	2	6	1	16
1st in	46/91	26/48	45/77	59/92	176/308
% 1st in	51%	54%	58%	64%	57%
1st pts	34/46	23/26	36/45	48/59	141/176
% 1st pts	74%	88%	80%	81%	80%
2nd pts	19/45	15/22	14/32	17/33	65/132
% 2nd pts	42%	68%	44%	52%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	3	4	3	16
Converted	6/9	3/9	4/5	3/10	16/33
Converted %	67%	33%	80%	30%	48%
Conceded	6	2	5	4	17
Saved	1/6	2/2	3/5	3/4	9
Saved %	17%	100%	60%	75%	63%
Times Broken	5	0	2	1	8

Popko
	R1 Meligeni	R2 Wiskandt	1/4 Pablo Ficovich	1/2 Galarneau	Total
Score	6-3 7-62	7-5 6-74 7-65	6-1 6-1	6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	22	38	14	20	94
pts	80-65	122-118	52-24	67-47	321-254
Total points	145	240	76	114	575
Winners	30	54	18	27	129
%Winners	38%	44%	35%	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	8	10	5	6	29
Double Faults	2	9	1	0	12
1st in	36/67	67/116	20/34	35/56	158/273
% 1st in	54%	58%	59%	63%	58%
1st pts	30/36	54/67	18/20	27/35	129/158
% 1st pts	83%	81%	90%	77%	82%
2nd pts	18/31	26/49	10/14	15/21	69/115
% 2nd pts	58%	53%	71%	71%	60%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5	3	13
Converted	2/7	3/8	5/9	3/6	13/30
Converted %	29%	38%	56%	50%	43%
Conceded	4	5	0	2	11
Saved	3/4	3/5	0/0	2/2	8
Saved %	75%	60%	–	100%	59%
Times Broken	1	2	0	0	3

Tennis Scores in Cuernavaca Challenger

• Jody Maginley/Alfredo PerezMaginley/Alfredo Perez – Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt (7-5 6-7⁵ 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Dmitry PopkoPopko (0-0) – H2H and prediction