Jessica Pegula and Sofia Kenin will clash against each other in the final of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:30 pm on CREDIT ONE STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.44
Sofia Kenin -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Sofia Kenin

This will be the 6th time that Jessica Pegula and Sofia Kenin play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Pegula (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.

Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin – U.S. Open 29-August-2024

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

24 - 6win/loss

Hard
20-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
4-0
Rank
3
High
3
WWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-6 20-6 5-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 4, the American got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Iryna Shymanovich 6-0 6-3, Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 6-2, Danielle Rose Collins 1-6 6-3 6-0 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-2 2-6 7-5.

In the semifinal, The American defeated Alexandrova (6-2 2-6 7-5). During the match, Pegula scored 106 points vs Alexandrova’s 100. Pegula was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula scored just 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 6 times and she saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 67% of her first serves in, winning 56% (37/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Alexandrova 7 times after converting 41% of her break points (7/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (328-163). 4-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an aggregate 67-42 match record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.

Jessica has a compiled 24-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Charleston
Pegula's Record

Sofia Kenin

Sofia Kenin

17 - 8win/loss

Hard
12-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-0
Rank
34
High
4
LWWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-9 12-8 5-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 16-26 10-17 5-6 0-0 1-3 0-0
2023 27-21 17-12 3-4 1-2 6-3 0-0
2022 10-17 7-14 0-0 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 11-10 7-5 3-4 0-0 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 44, the American got to the final after defeating Bernarda Pera 6-3 6-4

, Belinda Bencic 6-0 6-3, Daria Kasatkina 6-3 7-6(7), Anna Kalinskaya 6-4 6-3 and Amanda Anisimova 5-2 ret..

In the semifinal against Anisimova, Kenin had a free pass after Anisimova retired on a 5-2 . scoreline.

The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Charleston.

The American has a compiled 17-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd

round in 2019, 2021 and 2023. See her history.
Charleston
Kenin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
S.Kenin
6h:27
6h:27
Time on court​
6h:19
6h:19
!
2h:20
2h:20
Last match​
!
0h:34
0h:34
4
4
Match played
!
5
5
82
82
Games Played​
82
82
10
10
Set played​​
10
10
305
305
Total points​
307
307
76.3
76.3
Avg point​
61.4
61.4
110
110
Winners
126
126
27.5
27.5
Avg Winners​
25.2
25.2
36%
36%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
15
15
1.8
1.8
Avg Aces
3
3
8
8
Double Faults
18
18
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3.6
3.6
110/168
110/168
1st won total​
126/186
126/186
65%
65%
1st won %
68%
68%
51/102
51/102
2nd won total​
56/101
56/101
50%
50%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
22/43
22/43
BP won
19/34
19/34
5.5/10.8
5.5/10.8
Avg BP won
3.8/6.8
3.8/6.8
!
51%
51%
Won
!
56%
56%
35
35
Conceded
27
27
8.8
8.8
Avg Conceded
5.4
5.4
12
12
Broken
7
7
3
3
Avg Broken
1.4
1.4
23
23
Saved
20
20

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Kenin
Match played 4 5
Tot Set 10 10
Tot Games 82 82
Pts 305-242 307-244
Total Points 547 551
Winners 110 126
%Winners 36% 41%

Pegula played 4 matches while Kenin competed in 5 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula surrendered 2 sets while Sofia Kenin hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Kenin have played the same amount of sets 10. They also played the same amount of games (82). Jessica scored 110 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Sofia bagged 126 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Kenin
Aces 7 15
Avg per match 1.8 3
1st in 168/270 186/287
%1st in 62% 65%
1st pts 110/168 126/186
%1st pts 65% 68%
2nd pts 51/102 56/101
%2nd pts 50% 55%

Pegula managed to score 7 aces (1.8 per match). Kenin managed to score 15 aces (3 per match). Pegula won 65% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Kenin
Won 22 19
Converted 22/43 19/34
% Converted 51% 56%
Conceded 35 27
Saved 23 20
% Saved 66% 74%
Times Broken 12 7

Jessica broke her opponents 22 times with a 51% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 66% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 19 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R2
Shymanovich
R3
Tomljanovic
1/4
Collins
1/2
Alexandrova
Total
Score 6-0 6-3 6-3 6-2 1-6 6-3 6-0 6-2 2-6 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 15 17 22 28 82
pts 59-35 65-41 75-66 106-100 305-242
Total points 94 106 141 206 547
Winners 19 29 25 37 110
%Winners 32% 45% 33% 35% 36%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 0 1 7
Double Faults 4 1 1 2 8
1st in 28/53 36/58 38/60 66/99 168/270
% 1st in 53% 62% 63% 67% 62%
1st pts 19/28 29/36 25/38 37/66 110/168
% 1st pts 68% 81% 66% 56% 65%
2nd pts 13/25 11/22 12/22 15/33 51/102
% 2nd pts 52% 50% 55% 45% 50%
Breaks
Won 6 4 5 7 22
Converted 6/6 4/8 5/12 7/17 22/43
Converted % 100% 50% 42% 41% 51%
Conceded 4 5 5 21 35
Saved 2/4 4/5 2/5 15/21 23
Saved % 50% 80% 40% 71% 60%
Times Broken 2 1 3 6 12
Kenin
R1
Pera
R2
Bencic
R3
Kasatkina
1/4
Kalinskaya
1/2
Anisimova
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-3 6-3 7-67 6-4 6-3 5-2 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 1 9
Tot Games 19 15 22 19 7 82
pts 75-62 64-43 80-72 61-48 27-19 307-244
Total points 137 107 152 109 46 551
Winners 32 26 33 26 9 126
%Winners 43% 41% 41% 43% 33% 41%
SERVE
Aces 5 5 2 1 2 15
Double Faults 6 3 4 3 2 18
1st in 44/68 43/64 54/86 32/49 13/20 186/287
% 1st in 65% 67% 63% 65% 65% 65%
1st pts 32/44 26/43 33/54 26/32 9/13 126/186
% 1st pts 73% 60% 61% 81% 69% 68%
2nd pts 13/24 13/21 19/32 9/17 2/7 56/101
% 2nd pts 54% 62% 59% 53% 29% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 5 4 4 3 19
Converted 3/8 5/9 4/6 4/7 3/4 19/34
Converted % 38% 56% 67% 57% 75% 56%
Conceded 6 8 9 2 2 27
Saved 5/6 7/8 6/9 1/2 1/2 20
Saved % 83% 88% 67% 50% 50% 85%
Times Broken 1 1 3 1 1 7

Tennis Scores in Charleston

Upcoming matches in the draw