Sebastian Baez and Flavio Cobolli will face off in the final of the Tiriac Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRAL COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.47
Flavio Cobolli -> 2.68
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Flavio Cobolli
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Baez and Flavio Cobolli since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-13 | 0-4 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Baez got to the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Gabriel Diallo 7-6(5) 2-6 6-2, Francisco Comesana 7-6(5) 2-6 6-1 and Marton Fucsovics 6-2 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-2 6-2). During the match, Baez scored 66 points vs Fucsovics’s 49. Baez was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez scored just 1 ace and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Baez conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 79% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Fucsovics 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian has lost 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (266-156). 15-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Baez has an overall 227-92 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rio de Janeiro where he beat Alexandre Muller in the final 6-2 6-3.
The Argentine has a compiled 15-7 win-loss record in 2025, 15-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bucharest
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Flavio Cobolli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-14 | 3-7 | 8-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-29 | 26-13 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-36 | 10-6 | 43-23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-30 | 5-4 | 39-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, Cobolli got to the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Richard Gasquet 6-4 4-6 6-1, Filip Misolic 7-6(5) 6-4 and Damir Dzumhur 6-3 6-0.
In the semifinal, Flavio had a good straight sets win against Dzumhur (6-3 6-0). During the match Cobolli scored 61 points vs Dzumhur’s 36. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Cobolli blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Flavio Cobolli was very efficient on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Dzumhur 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Flavio has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Cobolli’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Bucharest.
The Italian has a compiled 6-9 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 65 |
| Pts | 256-224 | 239-192 |
| Total Points | 480 | 431 |
| Winners | 119 | 72 |
| %Winners | 46% | 30% |
Both Baez and Cobolli played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Baez surrendered 2 sets, while Flavio Cobolli dropped 1 set. Baez has played 1 set more than Cobolli (8 vs 7). Therefore, Baez played 8 games more than Cobolli. Sebastian scored 119 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Flavio fired 72 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 179/244 | 107/207 |
| %1st in | 73% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 119/179 | 72/107 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 35/65 | 60/100 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 60% |
Baez fired 4 aces (1.3 per match). Cobolli blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Baez won 66% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 14 |
| Converted | 12/23 | 14/39 |
| % Converted | 52% | 36% |
| Conceded | 25 | 12 |
| Saved | 18 | 5 |
| % Saved | 72% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Baez surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 14 times with a 36% conversion rate. Cobolli conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | |||||
| R2 Diallo |
1/4 Comesana |
1/2 Fucsovics |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 2-6 6-2 | 7-65 2-6 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 28 | 16 | 73 | |
| pts | 90-84 | 100-91 | 66-49 | 256-224 | |
| Total points | 174 | 191 | 115 | 480 | |
| Winners | 46 | 40 | 33 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 40% | 50% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 67/92 | 63/90 | 49/62 | 179/244 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 70% | 79% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 40/63 | 33/49 | 119/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 63% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 16/27 | 7/13 | 35/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 59% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/7 | 4/10 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 57% | 40% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 7/10 | 6/6 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 70% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Cobolli | |||||
| R2 Gasquet |
1/4 Misolic |
1/2 Dzumhur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-1 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 23 | 15 | 65 | |
| pts | 91-80 | 87-76 | 61-36 | 239-192 | |
| Total points | 171 | 163 | 97 | 431 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | 22 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 29% | 36% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 42/85 | 37/75 | 28/47 | 107/207 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | 60% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 25/42 | 25/37 | 22/28 | 72/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 68% | 79% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/43 | 23/38 | 12/19 | 60/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 61% | 63% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/14 | 4/12 | 14/39 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 29% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 40% | – | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
