Frances Tiafoe and Brandon Nakashima will clash against each other in the semifinal of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.68
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 7th time that Frances Tiafoe and Brandon Nakashima square off. The head to head is 5-1 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Nakashima won 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in Tokyo back in 2024.

Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe – Tokyo 26-September-2024

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

9 - 6win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
3-0
Rank
17
High
10
LWLWWWLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-8 5-5 4-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 17, the American reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye

, Adam Walton 7-5 6-3 and Alex Michelsen 7-5 6-1.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (7-5 6-1). During the match, Tiafoe scored 76 points vs Michelsen’s 58. The American was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tiafoe fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Michelsen 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tiafoe hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Tiafoe has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (310-230). 2-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tiafoe has a composed 64-47 match record in the last years on clay.

The American has a composed 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Houston
Tiafoe's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

12 - 9win/loss

Hard
10-7
I Hard
0-1
Clay
2-1
Rank
31
High
31
LLWWLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-10 10-7 2-2 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 33, Brandon got to the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 7-5 and Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Eubanks (6-4 6-4). During the match Nakashima scored 62 points vs Eubanks’s 56. Nakashima was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Nakashima made 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (23/30) of his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Eubanks twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Brandon hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Brandon’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Acapulco.

The American has a composed 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Houston

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

Houston
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Tiafoe
B.Nakashima
3h:02
3h:02
Time on court​
2h:40
2h:40
1h:32
1h:32
Last match​
1h:22
1h:22
2
2
Match played
2
2
40
40
Games Played​
39
39
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
148
148
Total points​
128
128
74
74
Avg point​
64
64
48
48
Winners
49
49
24
24
Avg Winners​
24.5
24.5
32%
32%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
14
14
4
4
Avg Aces
7
7
4
4
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
48/59
48/59
1st won total​
49/62
49/62
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
31/52
31/52
2nd won total​
31/40
31/40
60%
60%
2nd won %
!
78%
78%
-- Break Points --
8/24
8/24
BP won
5/10
5/10
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
2.5/5
2.5/5
33%
33%
Won
50%
50%
5
5
Conceded
0
0
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
0
0
2
2
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
3
3
Saved
0
0
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tiafoe Nakashima
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 40 39
Pts 148-112 128-100
Total Points 260 228
Winners 48 49
%Winners 32% 38%

Both Tiafoe and Nakashima played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tiafoe and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Tiafoe played 1 game more than Nakashima. The American scored 48 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima scored 49 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tiafoe Nakashima
Aces 8 14
Avg per match 4 7
1st in 59/111 62/102
%1st in 53% 61%
1st pts 48/59 49/62
%1st pts 81% 79%
2nd pts 31/52 31/40
%2nd pts 60% 78%

Tiafoe fired 8 aces (4 per match). Nakashima recorded 14 aces (7 per match). Tiafoe won 81% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 78% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tiafoe Nakashima
Won 8 5
Converted 8/24 5/10
% Converted 33% 50%
Conceded 5 0
Saved 3 0
% Saved 60% 0%
Times Broken 2 0

Tiafoe broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Francis lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Brandon was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Tiafoe
R2
Walton		 1/4
Michelsen		 Total
Score 7-5 6-3 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 19 40
pts 72-54 76-58 148-112
Total points 126 134 260
Winners 22 26 48
%Winners 31% 34% 32%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 8
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 26/53 33/58 59/111
% 1st in 49% 57% 53%
1st pts 22/26 26/33 48/59
% 1st pts 85% 79% 81%
2nd pts 17/27 14/25 31/52
% 2nd pts 63% 56% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/8 4/16 8/24
Converted % 50% 25% 33%
Conceded 2 3 5
Saved 1/2 2/3 3
Saved % 50% 67% 59%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Nakashima
R2
Mcdonald		 1/4
Eubanks		 Total
Score 6-1 7-5 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 20 39
pts 66-44 62-56 128-100
Total points 110 118 228
Winners 26 23 49
%Winners 39% 37% 38%
SERVE
Aces 7 7 14
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 32/49 30/53 62/102
% 1st in 65% 57% 61%
1st pts 26/32 23/30 49/62
% 1st pts 81% 77% 79%
2nd pts 14/17 17/23 31/40
% 2nd pts 82% 74% 78%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/5 2/5 5/10
Converted % 60% 40% 50%
Conceded 0 0 0
Saved 0/0 0/0 0
Saved % – – 0%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores in Houston

  • Federico Agustin Gomez/Santiago GonzalezAgustin Gomez/Santiago Gonzalez – Robert Galloway/Jack WithrowGalloway/Jack Withrow (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

Tiafoe
More Stats
Click here
Nakashima

Click for FULL STATS