Alvaro Guillen Meza and Matias Soto will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Campinas Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:30 am on QUADRA JOAO LIMA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alvaro Guillen Meza who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alvaro Guillen Meza is the pick to win this match.
Alvaro Guillen Meza -> 1.5
Matias Soto -> 2.45
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Prediction and head to head Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Matias Soto
This will be the 2nd time that Alvaro Guillen Meza and Matias Soto play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Guillen Meza (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Guillen Meza won 6-3 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Santa Fe Challenger back in 2023.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
16 - 8win/loss
205
205
LLWWWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-10 | 0-1 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-32 | 1-3 | 36-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-22 | 0-1 | 51-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 1-2 | 32-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 243, Guillen Meza got to the semifinal after beating Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida 6-4 6-4, Mariano Kestelboim 6-2 7-5 and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-2 2-6 6-1.
In the quarter, Guillen Meza defeated Carlos Prado Angelo (6-2 2-6 6-1). During the match, Guillen Meza scored 85 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 72. Alvaro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Guillen Meza recorded 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alvaro Guillen Meza lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Guillen Meza put 68% of his first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. The Ecuadorian broke Carlos Prado Angelo 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Guillen Meza has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Guillen Meza has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (147-102). 15-7 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Guillen Meza has an overall143-92 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Guillen Meza’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Punta del Este.
Alvaro has a compiled 15-8 win-loss record in 2025, 15-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Matias Soto
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 10-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-27 | 10-9 | 43-17 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-19 | 4-4 | 14-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-7 | 7-3 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-9 | 6-3 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 263, the Chilean got to the semifinal after beating Gonzalo Villanueva 7-6(4) 6-3, Conner Huertas Del Pino 4-6 6-4 7-6(2) and Daniel Dutra Da Silva 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2.
In the quarter against Dutra Da Silva, The Chilean recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 7-65 6-2). During the match Soto scored 140 points vs Dutra Da Silva’s 123. The Chilean was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Soto struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matias Soto lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Soto put 54% of his first serves in, winning 76% (48/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (27/54) on the 2nd serve. Soto broke Dutra Da Silva 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Soto’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Concepcion Challenger.
Soto has an overall 8-8 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Guillen Meza | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 89 |
| Pts | 245-199 | 311-274 |
| Total Points | 444 | 585 |
| Winners | 101 | 116 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Both Guillen Meza and Soto played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alvaro Guillen Meza surrendered 1 set, while Matias Soto conceded 2 sets. Guillen Meza has played 1 set(s) less than Soto (7 vs 8). Therefore, Guillen Meza played 26 games less than Soto. Guillen Meza scored 101 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Matias recorded 116 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Guillen Meza | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 155/223 | 157/282 |
| %1st in | 70% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 101/155 | 116/157 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 39/68 | 62/125 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 50% |
Guillen Meza recorded 6 aces (2 per match). Soto managed to score 6 aces (2 per match). Guillen Meza won 65% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Soto won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Guillen Meza | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 13 |
| Converted | 13/34 | 13/27 |
| % Converted | 38% | 48% |
| Conceded | 19 | 19 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 68% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 10 |
The Ecuadorian broke his opponents 13 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Ecuadorian lost his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Soto broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Guillen Meza | |||||
| R1 Ribeiro De Almeida |
R2 Kestelboim |
1/4 Carlos Prado Angelo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-2 2-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 23 | 63 | |
| pts | 82-66 | 78-61 | 85-72 | 245-199 | |
| Total points | 148 | 139 | 157 | 444 | |
| Winners | 30 | 31 | 40 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% | 47% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 44/59 | 50/74 | 61/90 | 155/223 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 68% | 68% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 30/44 | 31/50 | 40/61 | 101/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 62% | 66% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 15/24 | 13/29 | 39/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 63% | 45% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/15 | 5/9 | 5/10 | 13/34 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 56% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 10 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 6/8 | 7/10 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 70% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Soto | |||||
| R1 Villanueva |
R2 Huertas Del Pino |
1/4 Dutra Da Silva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 7-62 | 6-75 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 33 | 34 | 89 | |
| pts | 73-63 | 98-88 | 140-123 | 311-274 | |
| Total points | 136 | 186 | 263 | 585 | |
| Winners | 31 | 37 | 48 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 38% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 42/73 | 52/92 | 63/117 | 157/282 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 54% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 37/52 | 48/63 | 116/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 71% | 76% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/31 | 22/40 | 27/54 | 62/125 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 55% | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/6 | 5/16 | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 67% | 31% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2/6 | 5/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 33% | 63% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLWW
LWLWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Campinas Challenger
- Matias SotoSoto – Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (6-75 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-2 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Gonzalo BuenoBueno (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Eduardo RibeiroRibeiro (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Enzo Couacaud/Gabriel Roveri SidneyCouacaud/Gabriel Roveri Sidney – Guillermo Duran/Cristian RodriguezDuran/Cristian Rodriguez (3-6 7-66 15-13) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Gonzalo BuenoBueno (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Matias SotoSoto (1-0) – H2H and prediction
