Alexis Galarneau and Dmitry Popko will face off in the semifinal of the Cuernavaca Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on ESTADIO METAXCHANGE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexis Galarneau who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexis Galarneau is the pick to win this match.
Alexis Galarneau -> 1.59
Dmitry Popko -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Alexis Galarneau vs. Dmitry Popko

There is no head to head record between Alexis Galarneau and Dmitry Popko since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alexis Galarneau

Ranked no. 162, Galarneau got to the semifinal after defeating Beibit Zhukayev 7-6(7) 6-7(10) 6-3, Bernard Tomic 6-4 6-3 and Robin Catry 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Catry (6-4 6-4). During the match, Galarneau scored 71 points vs Catry’s 58. Galarneau was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Galarneau scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexis Galarneau was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Galarneau broke Catry twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Galarneau has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Galarneau has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (187-147). 13-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Galarneau has an aggregate 108-81 match record in the last years on hard.

The Canadian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger and the Pune Challenger.

The Canadian has a compiled 19-12 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger

Dmitry Popko

Ranked no. 175, Dmitry reached the semifinal after beating Felipe Meligeni Alves 6-3 7-6(2), Max Wiskandt 7-5 6-7(4) 7-6(5) and Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-1 6-1.

In the quarter, Popko had a good straight sets win against Pablo Ficovich (6-1 6-1). During the match Popko scored 52 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 24. Dmitry was quite aggressive to blast 18 winners.

About the serving games, Popko blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Dmitry Popko was quite effective on serve to win 90% (18/20) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Popko broke Pablo Ficovich 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dmitry has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Morelia Challenger where he defeated James Duckworth in the final 1-6 6-2 6-4.

The Kazakhstani has an overall 13-10 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger

Dmitry has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Galarneau	Popko
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	74	74
Pts	271-234	254-207
Total Points	505	461
Winners	124	102
%Winners	46%	40%

Both Galarneau and Popko played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexis Galarneau dropped 1 set, while Dmitry Popko dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Galarneau and Popko have played the same amount of sets 7. They also played the same amount of games (74). Alexis scored 124 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani managed to score 102 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Galarneau	Popko
Aces	9	23
Avg per match	3	7.7
1st in	164/261	123/217
%1st in	63%	57%
1st pts	124/164	102/123
%1st pts	76%	83%
2nd pts	56/97	54/94
%2nd pts	58%	57%

Galarneau made 9 aces (3 per match). Popko fired 23 aces (7.7 per match). Galarneau won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Popko won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Galarneau	Popko
Won	7	10
Converted	7/18	10/24
% Converted	39%	42%
Conceded	20	9
Saved	19	6
% Saved	95%	67%
Times Broken	1	3

Galarneau broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve once and he saved 95% of the break points that he conceded. Dmitry broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Popko conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Galarneau
	R1 Zhukayev	R2 Tomic	1/4 Catry	Total
Score	7-67 6-710 6-3	6-4 6-3	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	35	19	20	74
pts	132-126	68-50	71-58	271-234
Total points	258	118	129	505
Winners	60	34	30	124
%Winners	45%	50%	42%	46%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	1	9
Double Faults	6	1	2	9
1st in	83/142	44/59	37/60	164/261
% 1st in	58%	75%	62%	63%
1st pts	60/83	34/44	30/37	124/164
% 1st pts	72%	77%	81%	76%
2nd pts	35/59	7/15	14/23	56/97
% 2nd pts	59%	47%	61%	58%
Breaks
Won	1	4	2	7
Converted	1/4	4/7	2/7	7/18
Converted %	25%	57%	29%	39%
Conceded	12	6	2	20
Saved	12/12	5/6	2/2	19
Saved %	100%	83%	100%	94%
Times Broken	0	1	0	1

Popko
	R1 Meligeni	R2 Wiskandt	1/4 Pablo Ficovich	Total
Score	6-3 7-62	7-5 6-74 7-65	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	22	38	14	74
pts	80-65	122-118	52-24	254-207
Total points	145	240	76	461
Winners	30	54	18	102
%Winners	38%	44%	35%	40%
SERVE
Aces	8	10	5	23
Double Faults	2	9	1	12
1st in	36/67	67/116	20/34	123/217
% 1st in	54%	58%	59%	57%
1st pts	30/36	54/67	18/20	102/123
% 1st pts	83%	81%	90%	83%
2nd pts	18/31	26/49	10/14	54/94
% 2nd pts	58%	53%	71%	57%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5	10
Converted	2/7	3/8	5/9	10/24
Converted %	29%	38%	56%	42%
Conceded	4	5	0	9
Saved	3/4	3/5	0/0	6
Saved %	75%	60%	–	45%
Times Broken	1	2	0	3

Tennis Scores in Cuernavaca Challenger

• Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Robin CatryCatry (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Dmitry PopkoPopko – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Rafael JodarJodar – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (5-7 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Aidan MayoMayo (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Jody Maginley/Alfredo PerezMaginley/Alfredo Perez – Ivan Liutarevich/Marcus WillisLiutarevich/Marcus Willis (6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Rafael JodarJodar – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (5-7 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Aidan MayoMayo (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Dmitry PopkoPopko – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-0) – H2H and prediction