Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova will play each other in the semifinal of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CREDIT ONE STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.5
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 4^th time that Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but Pegula has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Alexandrova won 4-6 6-1 6-1 in the quarter in Doha back in February 2025.

Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula – Doha 13-February-2025

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 4,she will start her run in Charleston after she played her last match in Charleston where she overcame 1-6 6-3 6-0 to Collins in the quarter on the 4^th of April.

The American has an aggregate 23-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.

Talking about her overall career, Pegula has an overall 456-252 record. She has a positive 120-74 record on clay.

Previously in Charleston

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023 and 2024. See her history.

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 26, Alexandrova got to the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Ann Li 6-3 6-0, Diana Shnaider 6-2 6-1 and Qinwen Zheng 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-1 6-4). During the match Alexandrova scored 63 points vs Zheng’s 46. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Alexandrova bagged 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Zheng 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexandrova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Ekaterina has a composed 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pegula	Alexandrova
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	54	47
Pts	199-142	192-127
Total Points	341	319
Winners	73	70
%Winners	37%	36%

Both Pegula and Alexandrova played 3 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula conceded 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set more than Alexandrova (7 vs 6). Therefore, Pegula played 7 games more than Alexandrova. Jessica scored 73 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandrova bagged 70 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pegula	Alexandrova
Aces	6	14
Avg per match	2	4.7
1st in	102/171	89/164
%1st in	60%	54%
1st pts	73/102	70/89
%1st pts	72%	79%
2nd pts	36/69	39/75
%2nd pts	52%	52%

Pegula blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Alexandrova recorded 14 aces (4.7 per match). Pegula won 72% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pegula	Alexandrova
Won	15	13
Converted	15/26	13/26
% Converted	58%	50%
Conceded	14	8
Saved	8	6
% Saved	57%	75%
Times Broken	6	2

The American broke her opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. Jessica conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Alexandrova broke her opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alexandrova conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
	Total
Score
Tot Set	0
Tot Games	0
pts	0-0
Total points	0
Winners	0
%Winners	0%
SERVE
Aces	0
Double Faults	0
1st in	0/0
% 1st in	0%
1st pts	0/0
% 1st pts	%
2nd pts	0/0
% 2nd pts	0%
Breaks
Won	0
Converted	0/0
Converted %	0%
Conceded	0
Saved	0
Saved %	0%
Times Broken	0

Alexandrova
	R2 Li	R3 Shnaider	1/4 Zheng	Total
Score	6-3 6-0	6-2 6-1	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	15	15	17	47
pts	74-50	55-31	63-46	192-127
Total points	124	86	109	319
Winners	22	18	30	70
%Winners	30%	33%	48%	36%
SERVE
Aces	4	8	2	14
Double Faults	4	2	3	9
1st in	28/58	23/45	38/61	89/164
% 1st in	48%	51%	62%	54%
1st pts	22/28	18/23	30/38	70/89
% 1st pts	79%	78%	79%	79%
2nd pts	15/30	13/22	11/23	39/75
% 2nd pts	50%	59%	48%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	5	3	13
Converted	5/16	5/5	3/5	13/26
Converted %	31%	100%	60%	50%
Conceded	3	2	3	8
Saved	2/3	1/2	3/3	6
Saved %	67%	50%	100%	0%
Times Broken	1	1	0	2

Tennis Scores in Charleston

• Christopher HeymanHeyman – Niklas GuttauGuttau (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ergi KirkinKirkin – Koray KirciKirci (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jessica PegulaPegula – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Sofia KeninKenin (1-1) – H2H and prediction