Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova will play each other in the semifinal of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CREDIT ONE STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.5
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 4th time that Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but Pegula has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Alexandrova won 4-6 6-1 6-1 in the quarter in Doha back in February 2025.
Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula – Doha 13-February-2025
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-7 | 20-6 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4,she will start her run in Charleston after she played her last match in Charleston where she overcame 1-6 6-3 6-0 to Collins in the quarter on the 4th of April.
The American has an aggregate 23-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.
Talking about her overall career, Pegula has an overall 456-252 record. She has a positive 120-74 record on clay.
Previously in Charleston
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023 and 2024. See her history.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
12 - 8win/loss
22
15
LWWWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-9 | 5-7 | 6-2 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Alexandrova got to the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Ann Li 6-3 6-0, Diana Shnaider 6-2 6-1 and Qinwen Zheng 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-1 6-4). During the match Alexandrova scored 63 points vs Zheng’s 46. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Alexandrova bagged 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Zheng 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandrova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.
Ekaterina has a composed 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 47 |
| Pts | 199-142 | 192-127 |
| Total Points | 341 | 319 |
| Winners | 73 | 70 |
| %Winners | 37% | 36% |
Both Pegula and Alexandrova played 3 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula conceded 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set more than Alexandrova (7 vs 6). Therefore, Pegula played 7 games more than Alexandrova. Jessica scored 73 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandrova bagged 70 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 102/171 | 89/164 |
| %1st in | 60% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 73/102 | 70/89 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 36/69 | 39/75 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 52% |
Pegula blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Alexandrova recorded 14 aces (4.7 per match). Pegula won 72% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 13 |
| Converted | 15/26 | 13/26 |
| % Converted | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded | 14 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 6 |
| % Saved | 57% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
The American broke her opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. Jessica conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Alexandrova broke her opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alexandrova conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||
| Total | ||
|---|---|---|
| Score | ||
| Tot Set | 0 | |
| Tot Games | 0 | |
| pts | 0-0 | |
| Total points | 0 | |
| Winners | 0 | |
| %Winners | 0% | |
| SERVE | ||
| Aces | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | |
| 1st in | 0/0 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | |
| 1st pts | 0/0 | |
| % 1st pts | % | |
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | |
| Breaks | ||
| Won | 0 | |
| Converted | 0/0 | |
| Converted % | 0% | |
| Conceded | 0 | |
| Saved | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | |
| Alexandrova | |||||
| R2 Li |
R3 Shnaider |
1/4 Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | 17 | 47 | |
| pts | 74-50 | 55-31 | 63-46 | 192-127 | |
| Total points | 124 | 86 | 109 | 319 | |
| Winners | 22 | 18 | 30 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 33% | 48% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 28/58 | 23/45 | 38/61 | 89/164 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 51% | 62% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 18/23 | 30/38 | 70/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 78% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 13/22 | 11/23 | 39/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 59% | 48% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 100% | 60% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 100% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW
LWWWLWWWLL Tennis Scores in Charleston
- Christopher HeymanHeyman – Niklas GuttauGuttau (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ergi KirkinKirkin – Koray KirciKirci (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Sofia KeninKenin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
