Tommy Paul and Jenson Brooksby will fight against each other in the semifinal of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.39
Jenson Brooksby -> 2.99
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Jenson Brooksby
This will be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Jenson Brooksby square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Paul won 6-7(6) 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Dallas back in February 2025.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Jenson Brooksby – Dallas 04-February-2025
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-7 | 10-4 | 4-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Cristian Garin 2-6 6-2 7-6(5) and Colton Smith 6-1 7-6(1).
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Smith (6-1 7-61). During the match, Paul scored 72 points vs Smith’s 50. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tommy Paul was very efficient on serve to win 92% (22/24) of his 1st serve and 70% (19/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Smith 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tommy has lost 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (360-206). 2-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has a composed 81-48 record in the last years on clay.
Paul’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide and Dallas.
The American has an aggregate 15-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Houston
Jenson Brooksby
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-8 | 3-4 | 7-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 5-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-23 | 16-10 | 2-4 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-12 | 26-8 | 8-1 | 11-2 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 507, Brooksby reached the semifinal after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4, Patrick Maloney 6-4 6-2, Taro Daniel 6-4 6-4, Alejandro Tabilo 3-6 6-4 7-6(6) and Aleksandar Kovacevic 2-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Kovacevic, Jenson recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Brooksby scored 89 points vs Kovacevic’s 87. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Brooksby couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Jenson Brooksby lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Brooksby put 64% of his first serves in, winning 62% (34/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. Brooksby broke Kovacevic 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Brooksby started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Brooksby has a compiled 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 129 |
| Pts | 176-155 | 432-397 |
| Total Points | 331 | 829 |
| Winners | 61 | 168 |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% |
Paul played 2 matches while Brooksby competed in 5 matches. Brooksby started his run from the qualifications while Paul had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul surrendered 1 set, while Jenson Brooksby dropped 3 sets. Paul has played 8 set(s) less than Brooksby (5 vs 13). Therefore, Paul played 80 games less than Brooksby. Tommy scored 61 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Brooksby fired 168 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 78/147 | 234/387 |
| %1st in | 53% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 61/78 | 168/234 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 37/69 | 83/153 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 54% |
Paul scored 10 aces (5 per match). Brooksby fired 15 aces (3 per match). Paul won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Brooksby won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 17 |
| Converted | 7/21 | 17/40 |
| % Converted | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded | 15 | 29 |
| Saved | 11 | 18 |
| % Saved | 73% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 11 |
Tommy broke his opponents 7 times with a 33% conversion rate. Paul lost his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Jenson broke his opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jenson conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | ||||
| R2 Garin |
1/4 Smith |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 7-65 | 6-1 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 20 | 49 | |
| pts | 104-105 | 72-50 | 176-155 | |
| Total points | 209 | 122 | 331 | |
| Winners | 39 | 22 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 31% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/96 | 24/51 | 78/147 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 47% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 22/24 | 61/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 92% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/42 | 19/27 | 37/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 70% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 3/7 | 7/21 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 43% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 3 | 15 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 3/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Brooksby | |||||||
| Q1 Agustin |
Q3 Maloney |
R1 Daniel |
R2 Tabilo |
1/4 Kovacevic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-65 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 6-4 7-66 | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 18 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 129 | |
| pts | 108-108 | 60-44 | 67-52 | 108-106 | 89-87 | 432-397 | |
| Total points | 216 | 104 | 119 | 214 | 176 | 829 | |
| Winners | 39 | 27 | 23 | 45 | 34 | 168 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% | 34% | 42% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 61/96 | 31/53 | 30/53 | 57/99 | 55/86 | 234/387 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 58% | 57% | 58% | 64% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 39/61 | 27/31 | 23/30 | 45/57 | 34/55 | 168/234 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 87% | 77% | 79% | 62% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 12/22 | 18/23 | 19/42 | 16/31 | 83/153 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 55% | 78% | 45% | 52% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 3/3 | 2/5 | 3/10 | 5/11 | 17/40 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 100% | 40% | 30% | 45% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 29 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 4/7 | 7/11 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | – | 57% | 64% | 136% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWLW
LLWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Houston
- Tommy PaulPaul – Colton SmithSmith (6-1 7-61) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin Gomez/Santiago GonzalezAgustin Gomez/Santiago Gonzalez – Austin Krajicek/Rajeev RamKrajicek/Rajeev Ram (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Fernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith – Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac (7-69 7-65) – See score progression
- Matthew Christopher Romios/Adam WaltonChristopher Romios/Adam Walton – Rinky Hijikata/Jordan ThompsonHijikata/Jordan Thompson (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Robert Galloway/Jack WithrowGalloway/Jack Withrow – Rafael Matos/Marcelo ZormannMatos/Marcelo Zormann (5-7 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Colton SmithSmith (6-1 7-6(1)) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (3-0) – H2H and prediction
