Roberto Carballes Baena and Luciano Darderi will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Grand Prix Hassan II for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.9
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.9

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Luciano Darderi

This will be the 3^rd time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Luciano Darderi fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Carballes Baena won 6-2 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Gran Canaria Challenger back in 2022.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Ranked no. 51, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after beating Taha Baadi 7-6(3) 6-3, Otto Virtanen 6-4 6-4 and Nuno Borges 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, Carballes Baena had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-4 6-4). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 76 points vs Borges’s 70. Roberto was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Carballes Baena scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve twice and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 67% of his first serves in, winning 63% (38/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. Roberto broke Borges 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carballes Baena hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Carballes Baena has positive record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (345-279). 3-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carballes Baena has a compiled 284-183 match record in the last years on clay.

Carballes Baena has a composed 9-9 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Marrakech

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 57, Luciano got to the semifinal after defeating Tristan Boyer 6-4 6-4, Hugo Gaston 2-6 6-2 6-3 and Vit Kopriva 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter, Luciano had a good straight sets win against Kopriva (7-5 6-2). During the match Darderi scored 85 points vs Kopriva’s 71. Luciano was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Darderi blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luciano Darderi lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Darderi put 57% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the 2nd serve. Darderi broke Kopriva 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luciano has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Naples Challenger.

Darderi has an aggregate 9-9 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Marrakech

Luciano has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Carballes Baena	Darderi
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	62	65
Pts	223-199	240-216
Total Points	422	456
Winners	103	89
%Winners	46%	37%

Both Carballes Baena and Darderi played 3 matches. At the moment, Luciano Darderi conceded 1 set while Roberto Carballes Baena hasn’t lost a set so far. Carballes Baena has played 1 set(s) less than Darderi (6 vs 7). Therefore, Carballes Baena played 3 games less than Darderi. Roberto scored 103 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Luciano scored 89 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Carballes Baena	Darderi
Aces	3	8
Avg per match	1	2.7
1st in	153/227	127/221
%1st in	67%	57%
1st pts	103/153	89/127
%1st pts	67%	70%
2nd pts	35/74	52/94
%2nd pts	47%	55%

Carballes Baena fired 3 aces (1 per match). Darderi made 8 aces (2.7 per match). Carballes Baena won 67% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Darderi won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Carballes Baena	Darderi
Won	11	10
Converted	11/23	10/37
% Converted	48%	27%
Conceded	26	13
Saved	20	9
% Saved	77%	69%
Times Broken	6	4

The Spaniard broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Roberto conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Luciano broke his opponents 10 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Carballes Baena
	R1 Baadi	R2 Virtanen	1/4 Borges	Total
Score	7-63 6-3	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	22	20	20	62
pts	84-77	63-52	76-70	223-199
Total points	161	115	146	422
Winners	35	30	38	103
%Winners	42%	48%	50%	46%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	1	3
Double Faults	7	0	3	10
1st in	48/79	45/58	60/90	153/227
% 1st in	61%	78%	67%	67%
1st pts	35/48	30/45	38/60	103/153
% 1st pts	73%	67%	63%	67%
2nd pts	14/31	8/13	13/30	35/74
% 2nd pts	45%	62%	43%	47%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	11
Converted	3/12	4/6	4/5	11/23
Converted %	25%	67%	80%	48%
Conceded	5	4	17	26
Saved	3/5	2/4	15/17	20
Saved %	60%	50%	88%	66%
Times Broken	2	2	2	6

Darderi
	R1 Boyer	R2 Gaston	1/4 Kopriva	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	2-6 6-2 6-3	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	20	25	20	65
pts	72-63	83-82	85-71	240-216
Total points	135	165	156	456
Winners	30	30	29	89
%Winners	42%	36%	34%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	5	8
Double Faults	4	1	2	7
1st in	41/73	43/72	43/76	127/221
% 1st in	56%	60%	57%	57%
1st pts	30/41	30/43	29/43	89/127
% 1st pts	73%	70%	67%	70%
2nd pts	19/32	14/29	19/33	52/94
% 2nd pts	59%	48%	58%	55%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	10
Converted	2/9	4/14	4/14	10/37
Converted %	22%	29%	29%	27%
Conceded	4	3	6	13
Saved	4/4	0/3	5/6	9
Saved %	100%	0%	83%	61%
Times Broken	0	3	1	4

Tennis Scores in Marrakech

• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Vit KoprivaKopriva (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Tallon Griekspoor/Bart StevensGriekspoor/Bart Stevens – Mattia Bellucci/Hugo GastonBellucci/Hugo Gaston (6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Vit KoprivaKopriva (7-5 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-1) – H2H and prediction