Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen will face off in the quarter of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.68
Alex Michelsen -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen

This will be the 2nd time that Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Tiafoe won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Dallas back in 2024.

Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen – Dallas 08-February-2024

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

8 - 6win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
2-0
Rank
16
High
10
WLWLLWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-12 5-5 8-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 17, Tiafoe got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye and Adam Walton 7-5 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Walton (7-5 6-3). During the match, Tiafoe scored 72 points vs Walton’s 54. Tiafoe was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tiafoe made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was very efficient on serve to win 85% (22/26) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Walton 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Tiafoe has positive record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (309-230). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Tiafoe has a compiled 63-47 match record in the last years on clay.

Francis has an overall 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Houston
Tiafoe's Record

Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen

13 - 9win/loss

Hard
10-7
I Hard
1-1
Clay
2-1
Rank
33
High
32
LLLWWWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-13 10-7 6-5 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 45-34 26-14 4-9 8-5 7-6 0-0
2023 61-27 30-13 4-3 19-7 8-4 0-0
2022 23-10 14-8 0-1 9-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 34, the American reached the quarter after beating Learner Tien 6-4 6-2
and Adrian Mannarino 6-7(0) 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Mannarino, Michelsen recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-70 6-4 6-2). During the match Michelsen scored 103 points vs Mannarino’s 91. Alex was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Michelsen made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 65% of his first serves in, winning 61% (38/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Mannarino 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.

The American has a compiled 13-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.

Houston
Michelsen's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Tiafoe
A.Michelsen
1h:30
1h:30
Time on court​
!
3h:38
3h:38
1h:30
1h:30
Last match​
!
2h:28
2h:28
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
21
21
Games Played​
49
49
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
72
72
Total points​
163
163
72
72
Avg point​
81.5
81.5
22
22
Winners
64
64
22
22
Avg Winners​
32
32
31%
31%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
10
10
4
4
Avg Aces
5
5
2
2
Double Faults
6
6
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3
3
22/26
22/26
1st won total​
64/92
64/92
!
85%
85%
1st won %
70%
70%
17/27
17/27
2nd won total​
27/48
27/48
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
11/24
11/24
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
5.5/12
5.5/12
50%
50%
Won
46%
46%
2
2
Conceded
10
10
2
2
Avg Conceded
5
5
1
1
Broken
5
5
1
1
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
1
1
Saved
5
5
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tiafoe Michelsen
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 21 49
Pts 72-54 163-133
Total Points 126 296
Winners 22 64
%Winners 31% 39%

Tiafoe played 1 match while Michelsen competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alex Michelsen surrendered 1 set while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t dropped a set so far. Tiafoe has played 3 set(s) less than Michelsen (2 vs 5). Therefore, Tiafoe played 28 games less than Michelsen. The American scored 22 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Michelsen managed to score 64 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tiafoe Michelsen
Aces 4 10
Avg per match 4 5
1st in 26/53 92/140
%1st in 49% 66%
1st pts 22/26 64/92
%1st pts 85% 70%
2nd pts 17/27 27/48
%2nd pts 63% 56%

Tiafoe bagged 4 aces . Michelsen managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Tiafoe won 85% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tiafoe Michelsen
Won 4 11
Converted 4/8 11/24
% Converted 50% 46%
Conceded 2 10
Saved 1 5
% Saved 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 5

The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Tiafoe dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Michelsen broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Tiafoe
R2
Walton		 Total
Score 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 72-54 72-54
Total points 126 126
Winners 22 22
%Winners 31% 31%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 26/53 26/53
% 1st in 49% 49%
1st pts 22/26 22/26
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 17/27 17/27
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1
Michelsen
R1
Tien		 R2
Mannarino		 Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-70 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 31 49
pts 60-42 103-91 163-133
Total points 102 194 296
Winners 26 38 64
%Winners 43% 37% 39%
SERVE
Aces 7 3 10
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 30/45 62/95 92/140
% 1st in 67% 65% 66%
1st pts 26/30 38/62 64/92
% 1st pts 87% 61% 70%
2nd pts 8/15 19/33 27/48
% 2nd pts 53% 58% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 7 11
Converted 4/8 7/16 11/24
Converted % 50% 44% 46%
Conceded 1 9 10
Saved 0/1 5/9 5
Saved % 0% 56% 56%
Times Broken 1 4 5

Tennis Scores in Houston

  • Fernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith – Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac (7-69 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Federico Agustin Gomez/Santiago GonzalezAgustin Gomez/Santiago Gonzalez – Austin Krajicek/Rajeev RamKrajicek/Rajeev Ram (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Matthew Christopher Romios/Adam WaltonChristopher Romios/Adam Walton – Rinky Hijikata/Jordan ThompsonHijikata/Jordan Thompson (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

Tiafoe
More Stats
Click here
Michelsen

Click for FULL STATS