Alexis Galarneau and Robin Catry will fight against each other in the quarter of the Cuernavaca Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on ESTADIO METAXCHANGE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexis Galarneau who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexis Galarneau is the pick to win this match.
Alexis Galarneau -> 1.24
Robin Catry -> 3.72

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alexis Galarneau vs. Robin Catry

There is no head to head record between Alexis Galarneau and Robin Catry since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Alexis Galarneau

Ranked no. 162, Alexis reached the quarter after beating Beibit Zhukayev 7-6(7) 6-7(10) 6-3 and Bernard Tomic 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Galarneau had a good straight sets win against Tomic (6-4 6-3). During the match, Galarneau scored 68 points vs Tomic’s 50. The Canadian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Galarneau bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexis Galarneau lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Galarneau put 75% of his first serves in, winning 77% (34/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Tomic 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Galarneau has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (186-147). 12-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Galarneau has a compiled 107-81 match record in the last years on hard.

The Canadian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger and the Pune Challenger.

The Canadian has a compiled 18-12 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger

Robin Catry

Ranked no. 856 (career-high), the American reached the quarter after beating Trey Hilderbrand 6-1 6-3

, Alvin Nicholas Tudorica 6-1 4-6 6-2, Murphy Cassone 6-3 7-5 and Jurij Rodionov 7-5 2-6 4-0 ret..

In the 2^nd round against Rodionov, Catry had a free pass after Rodionov retired on a 7-5 2-6 4-0 . scoreline.

Catry has an aggregate 12-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Galarneau	Catry
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	5	11
Tot Games	54	86
Pts	200-176	299-233
Total Points	376	532
Winners	94	123
%Winners	47%	41%

Galarneau played 2 matches while Catry competed in 4 matches. Catry started his run from the qualifications while Galarneau had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexis Galarneau dropped 1 set, while Robin Catry lost 2 sets. Galarneau has played 6 set(s) less than Catry (5 vs 11). Therefore, Galarneau played 32 games less than Catry. Alexis scored 94 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Robin managed to score 123 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Galarneau	Catry
Aces	8	36
Avg per match	4	9
1st in	127/201	157/254
%1st in	63%	62%
1st pts	94/127	123/157
%1st pts	74%	78%
2nd pts	42/74	48/97
%2nd pts	57%	49%

Galarneau bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Catry fired 36 aces (9 per match). Galarneau won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Catry won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Galarneau	Catry
Won	5	18
Converted	5/11	18/33
% Converted	45%	55%
Conceded	18	22
Saved	17	15
% Saved	94%	68%
Times Broken	1	7

Galarneau broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Canadian surrendered his serve once and he saved 94% of the break points that he conceded. Catry broke his opponents 18 times with a 55% conversion rate. Robin conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Galarneau
	R1 Zhukayev	R2 Tomic	Total
Score	7-67 6-710 6-3	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	35	19	54
pts	132-126	68-50	200-176
Total points	258	118	376
Winners	60	34	94
%Winners	45%	50%	47%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	8
Double Faults	6	1	7
1st in	83/142	44/59	127/201
% 1st in	58%	75%	63%
1st pts	60/83	34/44	94/127
% 1st pts	72%	77%	74%
2nd pts	35/59	7/15	42/74
% 2nd pts	59%	47%	57%
Breaks
Won	1	4	5
Converted	1/4	4/7	5/11
Converted %	25%	57%	45%
Conceded	12	6	18
Saved	12/12	5/6	17
Saved %	100%	83%	92%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Catry
	Q1 Hilderbrand	Q3 Nicholas	R1 Cassone	R2 Rodionov	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-1 4-6 6-2	6-3 7-5	7-5 2-6 4-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	16	25	21	24	86
pts	62-38	86-61	69-51	82-83	299-233
Total points	100	147	120	165	532
Winners	20	30	33	40	123
%Winners	32%	35%	48%	49%	41%
SERVE
Aces	11	8	8	9	36
Double Faults	2	1	2	5	10
1st in	22/37	41/64	44/62	50/91	157/254
% 1st in	59%	64%	71%	55%	62%
1st pts	20/22	30/41	33/44	40/50	123/157
% 1st pts	91%	73%	75%	80%	78%
2nd pts	9/15	14/23	12/18	13/41	48/97
% 2nd pts	60%	61%	67%	32%	49%
Breaks
Won	5	6	3	4	18
Converted	5/11	6/9	3/6	4/7	18/33
Converted %	45%	67%	50%	57%	55%
Conceded	1	2	5	14	22
Saved	0/1	0/2	4/5	11/14	15
Saved %	0%	0%	80%	79%	80%
Times Broken	1	2	1	3	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Dmitry PopkoPopko – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – (0-1) – H2H and prediction