Tommy Paul and Colton Smith will play each other in the quarter of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.31
Colton Smith -> 3.45

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Colton Smith

There is no head to head record between Tommy Paul and Colton Smith since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 13, Tommy reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye and Cristian Garin 2-6 6-2 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round against Garin, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 7-6⁵).During the match, Paul scored less points (1) than Garin. In fact, the world no. 13 won 104 points vs Garin’s. That means that Paul was more focused during the important points. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul blasted 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 56% of his first serves in, winning 72% (39/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (18/42) on the 2nd serve. Paul broke Garin 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (359-206). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has an overall 80-48 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The American’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide and Dallas.

The American has a compiled 14-5 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Colton Smith

Ranked no. 200 (career-high), the American reached the quarter after beating Evan Zhu 6-1 6-2, Liam Draxl 6-4 6-4, James Duckworth 6-2 6-2 and Ethan Quinn 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Smith had a good straight sets win against Quinn (6-3 6-4). During the match Smith scored 60 points vs Quinn’s 42. The American was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Smith fired 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Colton Smith was very efficient on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Quinn twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Colton started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he overcame Eliot Spizzirri in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.

Smith has a composed 14-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Smith
Match played	1	4
Tot Set	3	8
Tot Games	29	70
Pts	104-105	249-173
Total Points	209	422
Winners	39	102
%Winners	38%	41%

Paul played 1 match while Smith competed in 4 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Paul had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Tommy Paul lost 1 set while Colton Smith hasn’t conceded a set so far. Paul has played 5 set(s) less than Smith (3 vs 8). Therefore, Paul played 41 games less than Smith. The American scored 39 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Colton made 102 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Smith
Aces	7	19
Avg per match	7	4.8
1st in	54/96	130/211
%1st in	56%	62%
1st pts	39/54	102/130
%1st pts	72%	78%
2nd pts	18/42	55/81
%2nd pts	43%	68%

Paul recorded 7 aces . Smith struck 19 aces (4.8 per match). Paul won 72% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Smith
Won	4	12
Converted	4/14	12/25
% Converted	29%	48%
Conceded	12	6
Saved	8	6
% Saved	67%	100%
Times Broken	4	0

The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Smith broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Colton was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.

Paul
	R2 Garin	Total
Score	2-6 6-2 7-65
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	104-105	104-105
Total points	209	209
Winners	39	39
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	54/96	54/96
% 1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	39/54	39/54
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	18/42	18/42
% 2nd pts	43%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/14	4/14
Converted %	29%	29%
Conceded	12	12
Saved	8/12	8
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	4	4

Smith
	Q1 Zhu	Q3 Draxl	R1 Duckworth	R2 Quinn	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	6-4 6-4	6-2 6-2	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	15	20	16	19	70
pts	57-32	71-58	61-41	60-42	249-173
Total points	89	129	102	102	422
Winners	21	32	22	27	102
%Winners	37%	45%	36%	45%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	8	5	3	19
Double Faults	2	2	2	4	10
1st in	31/51	40/62	28/44	31/54	130/211
% 1st in	61%	65%	64%	57%	62%
1st pts	21/31	32/40	22/28	27/31	102/130
% 1st pts	68%	80%	79%	87%	78%
2nd pts	16/20	12/22	11/16	16/23	55/81
% 2nd pts	80%	55%	69%	70%	68%
Breaks
Won	4	2	4	2	12
Converted	4/4	2/7	4/10	2/4	12/25
Converted %	100%	29%	40%	50%	48%
Conceded	2	2	1	1	6
Saved	2/2	2/2	1/1	1/1	6
Saved %	100%	100%	100%	100%	400%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in Houston

• Fernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith – Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac (7-6⁹ 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Christopher EubanksEubanks – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (2-4) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-0) – H2H and prediction