Alex Michelsen and Adrian Mannarino will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM COURT . In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 2 sets.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.2
Adrian Mannarino -> 4.55
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 3rd time that Alex Michelsen and Adrian Mannarino clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Michelsen and Mannarino (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Michelsen won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the 2nd round in Mallorca back in 2024.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-9 | 10-7 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Michelsen got to the 2nd round after beating Learner Tien 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-4 6-2). During the match, Michelsen scored 60 points vs Tien’s 42. Michelsen was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Michelsen scored 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alex Michelsen was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Tien 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Michelsen has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 64% of his matches (141-79). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has a compiled9-13 win-loss record in the last 4 years on clay.
Alex’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Michelsen has an overall 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Houston
Adrian Mannarino
4 - 14win/loss
144
17
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 144, Adrian got to the 2nd round after defeating Naoki Nakagawa 3-6 6-3 6-2, Corentin Denolly 6-4 5-7 7-6(5) and Yannick Hanfmann 7-6(5) 6-3.
In the 1st round, Mannarino had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (7-65 6-3). During the match Mannarino scored 73 points vs Hanfmann’s 66. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Mannarino fired 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve twice and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 62% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Adrian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Hanfmann 3 times.
Mannarino has an aggregate 4-13 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Houston
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 48 |
| Pts | 60-42 | 160-143 |
| Total Points | 102 | 303 |
| Winners | 26 | 71 |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% |
Michelsen played 1 match while Mannarino competed in 2 matches. Mannarino started his run from the qualifications while Michelsen had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino conceded 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t dropped a set so far. Michelsen has played 3 set(s) less than Mannarino (2 vs 5). Therefore, Michelsen played 30 games less than Mannarino. Alex scored 26 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The French player made 71 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 101/163 |
| %1st in | 67% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 71/101 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 33/62 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 53% |
Michelsen fired 7 aces . Mannarino struck 6 aces (3 per match). Michelsen won 87% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded | 1 | 21 |
| Saved | 0 | 18 |
| % Saved | 0% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Michelsen broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alex dropped his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Adrian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | |||
| R1 Tien | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 60-42 | 60-42 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 30/45 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 26/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 8/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mannarino | |||||
| Q1 Nakagawa | Q3 Denolly | R1 Hanfmann | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 7-65 | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 35 | 22 | 83 | |
| pts | 87-77 | – | 73-66 | 160-143 | |
| Total points | 164 | 0 | 139 | 303 | |
| Winners | 37 | 34 | 71 | ||
| %Winners | 43% | 0% | 47% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 1st in | 50/81 | / | 51/82 | 101/163 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 0% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | / | 34/51 | 71/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 0% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | / | 15/31 | 33/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 0% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | ||
| Converted | 3/10 | / | 3/3 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 0% | 100% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 14 | 21 | ||
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/ | 12/14 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 86% | 172% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||
Tennis Scores in Houston
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Corentin DenollyDenolly (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Colton SmithSmith – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (3-6 6-4 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Cristian GarinGarin (2-6 6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction