Alexis Galarneau and Bernard Tomic will play each other in the 2nd round of the Cuernavaca Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on ESTADIO METAXCHANGE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexis Galarneau who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexis Galarneau is the pick to win this match.
Alexis Galarneau -> 1.48
Bernard Tomic -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Alexis Galarneau vs. Bernard Tomic
This will be the 3rd time that Alexis Galarneau and Bernard Tomic fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Galarneau and Tomic (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Tomic won 7-6(6) 1-6 7-6(6) in the quarter in the Fairfield Challenger back in 2024.
Alexis Galarneau
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-32 | 24-18 | 1-3 | 11-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-26 | 15-12 | 8-6 | 12-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 20-18 | 3-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-28 | 12-7 | 9-9 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 162, the Canadian got to the 2nd round after defeating Beibit Zhukayev 7-6(7) 6-7(10) 6-3.
In the 1st round, Alexis defeated Zhukayev (7-67 6-710 6-3). During the match, Galarneau scored 132 points vs Zhukayev’s 126. Alexis was very aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about the service games, Galarneau fired 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexis Galarneau was very effective on serve to win 72% (60/83) of his 1st serve and 59% (35/59) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexis broke Zhukayev once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Galarneau has good match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (185-147). 11-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Galarneau has a compiled 106-81 record in the last years on hard.
The Canadian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger and the Pune Challenger.
The Canadian has a composed 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger
Bernard Tomic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-34 | 30-24 | 6-7 | 2-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 34-19 | 12-5 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-27 | 35-19 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-12 | 24-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 214, Tomic reached the 2nd round after beating Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar 4-6 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round against Carlos Manuel Aguilar, Tomic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-4). During the match Tomic scored 88 points vs Carlos Manuel Aguilar’s 78. Tomic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Tomic scored 7 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Bernard Tomic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Tomic put 54% of his first serves in, winning 77% (37/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (19/41) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Carlos Manuel Aguilar 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Tomic has an overall 8-9 win-loss record in 2025, 7-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger
Bernard has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Galarneau | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 28 |
| Pts | 132-126 | 88-78 |
| Total Points | 258 | 166 |
| Winners | 60 | 37 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Both Galarneau and Tomic played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexis Galarneau lost 1 set, while Bernard Tomic dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Galarneau and Tomic have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Galarneau played 7 games more than Tomic. Alexis scored 60 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Tomic recorded 37 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Galarneau | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 7 |
| 1st in | 83/142 | 48/89 |
| %1st in | 58% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 60/83 | 37/48 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 35/59 | 19/41 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 46% |
Galarneau made 4 aces . Tomic blasted 7 aces . Galarneau won 72% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Tomic won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Galarneau | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 5 |
| Converted | 1/4 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 25% | 42% |
| Conceded | 12 | 10 |
| Saved | 12 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Galarneau broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. The Canadian pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 12 break points. The Australian broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Galarneau | |||
| R1 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-710 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 35 | |
| pts | 132-126 | 132-126 | |
| Total points | 258 | 258 | |
| Winners | 60 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 83/142 | 83/142 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 60/83 | 60/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 35/59 | 35/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 12/12 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Tomic | |||
| R1 Carlos Manuel Aguilar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 88-78 | 88-78 | |
| Total points | 166 | 166 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 48/89 | 48/89 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 37/48 | 37/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/41 | 19/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLLLL
LWLLWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Cuernavaca Challenger
- Aidan MayoMayo – Elmar EjupovicEjupovic (7-66 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rafael JodarJodar – Stefan KozlovKozlov (7-5 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rodrigo Pacheco MendezRodrigo – Mark LajalMark (7-6(4) 6-7(3) 7-6(8)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Bernard TomicTomic – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
