Ethan Quinn and Colton Smith will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Colton Smith who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Colton Smith is the pick to win this match.
Colton Smith -> 1.7
Ethan Quinn -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Ethan Quinn vs. Colton Smith
This will be the 2nd time that Ethan Quinn and Colton Smith play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Smith (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Smith won 1-6 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in the Cleveland Challenger back in January 2025.
Ethan Quinn
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-9 | 16-7 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-34 | 17-18 | 2-7 | 13-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-16 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-14 | 21-7 | 6-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 130 (career-high), the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Jordan Thompson 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round against Thompson, Quinn recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Quinn scored 102 points vs Thompson’s 89. Ethan was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Quinn struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ethan Quinn lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Quinn put 56% of his first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (23/42) on the 2nd serve. Ethan broke Thompson 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Quinn has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 59% of his matches (108-76). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Quinn has an aggregate9-11 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
Ethan’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Canberra Challenger.
Ethan has an aggregate 20-9 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Houston
Colton Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-3 | 5-3 | 3-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-11 | 22-7 | 0-0 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 5-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 200 (career-high), the American got to the 2nd round after beating Evan Zhu 6-1 6-2, Liam Draxl 6-4 6-4 and James Duckworth 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Smith had a good straight sets win against Duckworth (6-2 6-2). During the match Smith scored 61 points vs Duckworth’s 41. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Smith bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Colton Smith was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Colton broke Duckworth 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he beat Eliot Spizzirri in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.
The American has an overall 13-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Houston
Smith has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Quinn | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 51 |
| Pts | 102-89 | 189-131 |
| Total Points | 191 | 320 |
| Winners | 38 | 75 |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% |
Quinn played 1 match while Smith competed in 3 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Quinn had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Ethan Quinn lost 1 set while Colton Smith hasn’t conceded a set so far. Quinn has played 3 set(s) less than Smith (3 vs 6). Therefore, Quinn played 22 games less than Smith. Ethan scored 38 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Smith made 75 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Quinn | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 54/96 | 99/157 |
| %1st in | 56% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 38/54 | 75/99 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 23/42 | 39/58 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 67% |
Quinn made 4 aces . Smith scored 16 aces (5.3 per match). Quinn won 70% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Quinn | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 10/21 |
| % Converted | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded | 13 | 5 |
| Saved | 9 | 5 |
| % Saved | 69% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ethan dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Smith broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Smith was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Quinn | |||
| R1 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 102-89 | 102-89 | |
| Total points | 191 | 191 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 54/96 | 54/96 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 38/54 | 38/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/42 | 23/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Smith | |||||
| Q1 Zhu |
Q3 Draxl |
R1 Duckworth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 16 | 51 | |
| pts | 57-32 | 71-58 | 61-41 | 189-131 | |
| Total points | 89 | 129 | 102 | 320 | |
| Winners | 21 | 32 | 22 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 45% | 36% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/51 | 40/62 | 28/44 | 99/157 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 65% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 32/40 | 22/28 | 75/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 80% | 79% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/20 | 12/22 | 11/16 | 39/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 55% | 69% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 2/7 | 4/10 | 10/21 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 29% | 40% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 300% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWLWW
WWWLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Houston
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-2 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac – Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King (6-2 1-6 14-12) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Michael MmohMmoh (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Alexander RitschardRitschard (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Brandon HoltHolt (7-67 7-68) – See score progression
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Rinky Hijikata/Jordan ThompsonHijikata/Jordan Thompson – Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy (3-6 7-61 11-9) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Christian GarinGarin (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
