Aleksandar Kovacevic and Corentin Denolly will face off in the 2^nd round of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.31
Corentin Denolly -> 3.45

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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Corentin Denolly

This will be the 2^nd time that Aleksandar Kovacevic and Corentin Denolly play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Denolly (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Denolly won 6-0 6-3 in the 1^st round in M25 Naples back in 2021.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ranked no. 79, the American got to the 2^nd round after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Aleksandar had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (6-3 6-4). During the match, Kovacevic scored 63 points vs Etcheverry’s 54. The American was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kovacevic scored 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Aleksandar Kovacevic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Etcheverry twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Kovacevic has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 56% of his matches (201-157). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Kovacevic has an aggregate20-24 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he defeated Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Cap Cana Challenger where he defeated Damir Dzumhur in the final 6-2 6-3.

Aleksandar has a compiled 20-8 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Corentin Denolly

Ranked no. 328, Corentin got to the 2^nd round after defeating James Kent Trotter 6-3 2-6 6-3, Adrian Mannarino 6-4 5-7 7-6(5) and Brandon Holt 7-6(7) 7-6(8).

In the 1^st round, Denolly had a good straight sets win against Holt (7-6⁷ 7-6⁸).During the match Denolly scored less points (2) than Holt. In fact, the world no. 79 won 98 points vs Holt’s. That means that Denolly was more focused during the important points. Denolly was quite aggressive to blast 56 winners.

Talking about serving, Denolly scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 6 double faults. Corentin Denolly lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Denolly put 68% of his first serves in, winning 76% (56/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (13/35) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Holt twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Denolly has an overall 8-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Corentin has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kovacevic	Denolly
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	8
Tot Games	19	87
Pts	63-54	289-292
Total Points	117	581
Winners	26	146
%Winners	41%	51%

Kovacevic played 1 match while Denolly competed in 3 matches. Denolly started his run from the qualifications while Kovacevic had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Corentin Denolly dropped 2 sets while Aleksandar Kovacevic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kovacevic has played 6 set(s) less than Denolly (2 vs 8). Therefore, Kovacevic played 68 games less than Denolly. Kovacevic scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 146 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kovacevic	Denolly
Aces	3	9
Avg per match	3	3
1st in	31/65	203/309
%1st in	48%	66%
1st pts	26/31	146/203
%1st pts	84%	72%
2nd pts	20/34	49/106
%2nd pts	59%	46%

Kovacevic blasted 3 aces . Denolly struck 9 aces (3 per match). Kovacevic won 84% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Denolly won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kovacevic	Denolly
Won	2	8
Converted	2/7	8/15
% Converted	29%	53%
Conceded	4	29
Saved	4	22
% Saved	100%	76%
Times Broken	0	7

Kovacevic broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Aleksandar was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. Corentin broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Corentin conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Kovacevic
	R1 Etcheverry	Total
Score	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	63-54	63-54
Total points	117	117
Winners	26	26
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	31/65	31/65
% 1st in	48%	48%
1st pts	26/31	26/31
% 1st pts	84%	84%
2nd pts	20/34	20/34
% 2nd pts	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/7	2/7
Converted %	29%	29%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	4/4	4
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Denolly
	Q1 Kent	Q3 Mannarino	R1 Holt	Total
Score	6-3 2-6 6-3	6-4 5-7 7-65	7-67 7-68
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	26	35	26	87
pts	72-69	119-123	98-100	289-292
Total points	141	242	198	581
Winners	29	61	56	146
%Winners	40%	51%	57%	51%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	1	9
Double Faults	4	3	6	13
1st in	40/71	89/129	74/109	203/309
% 1st in	56%	69%	68%	66%
1st pts	29/40	61/89	56/74	146/203
% 1st pts	73%	69%	76%	72%
2nd pts	18/31	18/40	13/35	49/106
% 2nd pts	58%	45%	37%	46%
Breaks
Won	3	3	2	8
Converted	3/7	3/4	2/4	8/15
Converted %	43%	75%	50%	53%
Conceded	3	19	7	29
Saved	1/3	16/19	5/7	22
Saved %	33%	84%	71%	188%
Times Broken	2	3	2	7

Tennis Scores in Houston

• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 6-7³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Adam WaltonWalton – Michael MmohMmoh (6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac – Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King (6-2 1-6 14-12) – See score progression
• Colton SmithSmith – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Cristian GarinGarin – Alexander RitschardRitschard (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Corentin DenollyDenolly – Brandon HoltHolt (7-6⁷ 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Rinky Hijikata/Jordan ThompsonHijikata/Jordan Thompson – Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy (3-6 7-6¹ 11-9) – See score progression
• Colton SmithSmith – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 6-7(3) 6-4) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
• Adam WaltonWalton – Michael MmohMmoh (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Christian GarinGarin (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin DenollyDenolly – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Christopher EubanksEubanks (2-0) – H2H and prediction