Tommy Paul and Cristian Garin will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.44
Cristian Garin -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Cristian Garin
This will be the 5th time that Tommy Paul and Cristian Garin clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Garin (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Garin won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Rome back in 2023.
Highlights Cristian Garin vs Tommy Paul – Rome 12-May-2023
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-8 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Paul will start his run in Houston after he played his last match in Miami where he lost 6-2 7-6(4) to Cerundolo in the 3rd round on the 23rd of March.
The American has an overall 13-5 win-loss record in 2025, 0-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
This will be the first match of the year on clay.
Paul’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide and Dallas.
Talking about his overall career, Tommy has an overall 408-230 record. He has a positive 110-59 record on clay.
Previously in Houston
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016, 2022 and 2023. See his history.
Cristian Garin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-11 | 5-4 | 17-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-18 | 2-6 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133, Christian got to the 2nd round after defeating Alexander Ritschard 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Christian had a good straight sets win against Ritschard (6-3 6-4). During the match Garin scored 70 points vs Ritschard’s 56. The Chilean was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Garin blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Cristian Garin was extremely effective on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Garin broke Ritschard twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Garin’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Merida Challenger.
Christian has a compiled 11-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Head 2 Head
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LWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Houston
- Colton SmithSmith – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Michael MmohMmoh (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac – Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King (6-2 1-6 14-12) – See score progression
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rinky Hijikata/Jordan ThompsonHijikata/Jordan Thompson – Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy (3-6 7-61 11-9) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Alexander RitschardRitschard (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Brandon HoltHolt (7-67 7-68) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 6-7(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Michael MmohMmoh (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Christian GarinGarin (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Christopher EubanksEubanks (2-0) – H2H and prediction
