Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar and Ivan Marrero Curbelo will play each other in the qualifications of the Cuernavaca Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar who should win in 3 sets.
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar -> 1.45
Ivan Marrero Curbelo -> 2.59
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar vs. Ivan Marrero Curbelo
There is no head to head record between Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar and Ivan Marrero Curbelo since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
10 - 5win/loss
517
409
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-21 | 14-9 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-13 | 14-6 | 3-2 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-24 | 7-10 | 11-7 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-11 | 1-5 | 12-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 482, Carlos Manuel Aguilar got to the qualifications after defeating Ray Ho 7-6(5) 7-6(4).
In the qualifications, Juan had a good straight sets win against Ho (7-65 7-64). During the match, Carlos Manuel Aguilar scored 95 points vs Ho’s 78. Juan was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carlos Manuel Aguilar fired 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (45/53) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Canadian broke Ho once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Carlos Manuel Aguilar has winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (108-80). 7-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Carlos Manuel Aguilar has an aggregate 59-45 record in the last years on hard.
Carlos Manuel Aguilar’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Kingston.
The Canadian has a compiled 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger
Juan has never competed in this tournament before.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
6 - 9win/loss
603
603
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-21 | 28-18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-23 | 25-17 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-13 | 14-7 | 11-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-16 | 14-6 | 13-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 737, Ivan reached the qualifications after beating Diego Eloy Mendez Montiel 6-3 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Eloy Mendez Montiel (6-3 6-0). During the match Marrero Curbelo scored 60 points vs Eloy Mendez Montiel’s 38. Marrero Curbelo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Marrero Curbelo scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Ivan Marrero Curbelo lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Marrero Curbelo put 70% of his first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Ivan broke Eloy Mendez Montiel 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Huamantla.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 6-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carlos Manuel Aguilar | Marrero Curbelo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 15 |
| Pts | 95-78 | 60-38 |
| Total Points | 173 | 98 |
| Winners | 45 | 26 |
| %Winners | 47% | 43% |
Both Carlos Manuel Aguilar and Marrero Curbelo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Carlos Manuel Aguilar and Marrero Curbelo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Carlos Manuel Aguilar played 11 games more than Marrero Curbelo. Juan scored 45 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Ivan bagged 26 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carlos Manuel Aguilar | Marrero Curbelo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 53/82 | 39/56 |
| %1st in | 65% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 45/53 | 26/39 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 7/17 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 41% |
Carlos Manuel Aguilar managed to score 3 aces . Marrero Curbelo bagged 1 ace . Carlos Manuel Aguilar won 85% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Marrero Curbelo won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carlos Manuel Aguilar | Marrero Curbelo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 6 |
| Converted | 1/4 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 25% | 67% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 83% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Juan broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Carlos Manuel Aguilar dropped his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Marrero Curbelo broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carlos Manuel Aguilar | |||
| Q1 Ho | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 95-78 | 95-78 | |
| Total points | 173 | 173 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 53/82 | 53/82 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 45/53 | 45/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 15/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Marrero Curbelo | |||
| Q1 Eloy Mendez Montiel | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 60-38 | 60-38 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/56 | 39/56 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 26/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 7/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto CidCid – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Dmitry PopkoPopko (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Carlos Manuel AguilarCarlos Manuel Aguilar – Ivan Marrero CurbeloMarrero Curbelo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Govind NandaNanda – Tristan MccormickMccormick (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dan MartinMartin – Elmar EjupovicEjupovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Stefan KozlovKozlov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alvin Nicholas TudoricaNicholas Tudorica – (0-0) – H2H and prediction