Elijah Strode and Tom Paris will play each other in the qualifications of the Cuernavaca Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tom Paris who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tom Paris is the pick to win this match.
Tom Paris -> 1.35
Elijah Strode -> 2.99
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Prediction and head to head Elijah Strode vs. Tom Paris
There is no head to head record between Elijah Strode and Tom Paris since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Elijah Strode
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-7 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 15-17 | 15-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-22 | 10-13 | 6-8 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-14 | 15-13 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Elijah reached the qualifications after beating Alfredo Perez 6-3 3-6 7-6(7).
In the qualifications, The American defeated Perez (6-3 3-6 7-67).During the match, Strode scored less points (3) than Perez. In fact, the world no. won 97 points vs Perez’s. That means that Strode was more focused during the important points. Elijah was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Strode blasted 16 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Elijah Strode was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (49/65) of his 1st serve and 61% (22/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Strode broke Perez once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Strode has a unfavourable match record in the last 5 years having won 49% of his matches (62-65). 10-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Strode has an overall51-54 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
The American has an aggregate 10-7 win-loss record in 2025, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Tom Paris
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-6 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2024 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 5-7 | 10-4 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 446 (career-high), Tom got to the qualifications after beating Isaiah Strode 6-2 4-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, Paris defeated Strode (6-2 4-6 6-2). During the match Paris scored 83 points vs Strode’s 65. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Paris scored 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Tom Paris was pretty effective on serve to win 89% (33/37) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Paris broke Strode 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
The French player best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Oslo and M25 Nussloch.
Paris has an overall 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Strode | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 26 |
| Pts | 97-100 | 83-65 |
| Total Points | 197 | 148 |
| Winners | 49 | 33 |
| %Winners | 51% | 40% |
Both Strode and Paris played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Elijah Strode dropped 1 set, while Tom Paris dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Strode and Paris have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Strode played 5 games more than Paris. Elijah scored 49 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Paris managed to score 33 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Strode | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 16 | 9 |
| 1st in | 65/101 | 37/67 |
| %1st in | 64% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 49/65 | 33/37 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 22/36 | 17/30 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 57% |
Strode fired 16 aces . Paris fired 9 aces . Strode won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Paris won 89% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Strode | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 4 |
| Converted | 1/4 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 25% | 36% |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 |
| Saved | 4 | 0 |
| % Saved | 80% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Elijah broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Elijah dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Tom broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Paris conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Strode | |||
| Q1 Perez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 97-100 | 97-100 | |
| Total points | 197 | 197 | |
| Winners | 49 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 65/101 | 65/101 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 49/65 | 49/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/36 | 22/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Paris | |||
| Q1 Strode |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 83-65 | 83-65 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 37/67 | 37/67 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 33/37 | 33/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 17/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLLWWLW
WLLWLWLWWL 
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