Yuki Mochizuki and Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Campinas Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:30 am on QUADRA JOAO LIMA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos who should win in 3 sets.
Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos -> 1.86
Yuki Mochizuki -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Yuki Mochizuki vs. Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos
There is no head to head record between Yuki Mochizuki and Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Yuki Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-22 | 25-15 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-24 | 19-20 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 21-23 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 18-12 | 14-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-8 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 611, Yuki reached the qualifications after defeating Breno Braga 6-0 6-3.
In the qualifications, Yuki had a good straight sets win against Braga (6-0 6-3). During the match, Mochizuki scored 54 points vs Braga’s 27. Mochizuki was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mochizuki scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Yuki Mochizuki was very effective on serve to win 74% (17/23) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Yuki was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Braga 6 times.
Mochizuki has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (168-114). 5-4 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mochizuki has a composed 38-18 record in the last years on clay.
The Japanese has a compiled 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-32 | 12-10 | 23-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-30 | 12-12 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 25-26 | 4-5 | 21-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-16 | 0-1 | 22-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-13 | 4-6 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 711 (career-high), Paulo reached the qualifications after defeating Lucca Pinto 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Pinto (6-4 6-3). During the match Saraiva Dos Santos scored 67 points vs Pinto’s 53. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Saraiva Dos Santos bagged 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Saraiva Dos Santos put 60% of his first serves in, winning 71% (24/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. Saraiva Dos Santos broke Pinto 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Paulo has an aggregate 7-7 win-loss record in 2025, 7-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Saraiva Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 19 |
| Pts | 54-27 | 67-53 |
| Total Points | 81 | 120 |
| Winners | 17 | 24 |
| %Winners | 31% | 36% |
Both Mochizuki and Saraiva Dos Santos played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mochizuki and Saraiva Dos Santos have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mochizuki played 4 games less than Saraiva Dos Santos. Mochizuki scored 17 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian made 24 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Saraiva Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 23/38 | 34/57 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 24/34 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 9/23 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 39% |
Mochizuki struck 1 ace . Saraiva Dos Santos also bagged 3 aces . Mochizuki won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Saraiva Dos Santos won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Saraiva Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/6 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 100% | 60% |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 6 times with a 100% conversion rate. Mochizuki lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Saraiva Dos Santos broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Braga | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 54-27 | 54-27 | |
| Total points | 81 | 81 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 23/38 | 23/38 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 17/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 10/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/6 | 6/6 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Saraiva Dos Santos | |||
| Q1 Pinto | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 67-53 | 67-53 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/57 | 34/57 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 24/34 | 24/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 9/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Remy BertolaBertola – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vladyslav OrlovOrlov – Conner Huertas Del PinoHuertas Del Pino (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yuki MochizukiMochizuki – Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosAndre Saraiva Dos Santos (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matias SotoSoto – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Igor GimenezGimenez – Ignacio MonzonMonzon (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias – Eduardo RibeiroRibeiro (1-1) – H2H and prediction