Adrian Mannarino and Corentin Denolly will clash against each other in the qualifications of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 2 sets.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.37
Corentin Denolly -> 2.89
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Corentin Denolly
There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Corentin Denolly since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Adrian Mannarino
3 - 13win/loss
134
17
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, Mannarino reached the qualifications after beating Naoki Nakagawa 3-6 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications against Nakagawa, Adrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Mannarino scored 87 points vs Nakagawa’s 77. Adrian was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mannarino fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Adrian broke Nakagawa 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Mannarino has won exactly 50% of his matches (270-270) in the last 10 years. 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Mannarino has an overall 22-53 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Adrian has an aggregate 3-12 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Houston
Adrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Corentin Denolly
7 - 8win/loss
269
269
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-9 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-23 | 0-0 | 55-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-18 | 0-0 | 32-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 2-4 | 23-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 327, Denolly reached the qualifications after defeating James Kent Trotter 6-3 2-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Corentin defeated Kent Trotter (6-3 2-6 6-3). During the match Denolly scored 72 points vs Kent Trotter’s 69. Denolly was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Denolly fired 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Corentin Denolly was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Corentin broke Kent Trotter 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Denolly has an aggregate 6-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 |
| Pts | 87-77 | 72-69 |
| Total Points | 164 | 141 |
| Winners | 37 | 29 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Both Mannarino and Denolly played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Adrian Mannarino conceded 1 set, while Corentin Denolly lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Mannarino and Denolly have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (26). Adrian scored 37 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin recorded 29 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 50/81 | 40/71 |
| %1st in | 62% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 29/40 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 58% |
Mannarino made 4 aces . Denolly fired 5 aces . Mannarino won 74% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Denolly won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 30% | 43% |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 86% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Adrian broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The French player dropped his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Corentin broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | |||
| Q1 Nakagawa | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 87-77 | 87-77 | |
| Total points | 164 | 164 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/81 | 50/81 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 37/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Denolly | |||
| Q1 Kent | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 72-69 | 72-69 | |
| Total points | 141 | 141 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 40/71 | 40/71 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 29/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Corentin DenollyDenolly (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Patrick ZahrajZahraj (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Alexander RitschardRitschard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Adam WaltonWalton (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Evan ZhuZhu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Patrick MaloneyMaloney (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Alafia AyeniAyeni (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Christopher EubanksEubanks (2-0) – H2H and prediction