Novak Djokovic and Jakub Mensik will play each other in the final of the Miami Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.174
Jakub Mensik -> 5.25

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Jakub Mensik

This will be the 2^nd time that Novak Djokovic and Jakub Mensik square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Djokovic won 6-7(4) 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in Shanghai back in 2024.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Jakub Mensik – Shanghai 11-October-2024

Novak Djokovic

Ranked no. 5, Djokovic got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Rinky Hijikata 6-0 7-6(1), Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 7-6(1), Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-2, Sebastian Korda 6-3 7-6(4) and Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 6-3.

In the semifinal, Novak had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-2 6-3). During the match, Djokovic scored 54 points vs Dimitrov’s 34. Novak was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Djokovic recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Novak Djokovic lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 87% of his first serves in, winning 79% (31/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (2/6) on the 2nd serve. The Serbian broke Dimitrov 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (450-80). 12-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has an overall 199-32 record in the last years on hard.

Novak’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open and Miami.

Novak has a compiled 12-4 win-loss record in 2025, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Jakub Mensik

Ranked no. 54, Jakub got to the final after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 3-6 6-1, Jack Draper 7-6(2) 7-6(3), Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-4, Tomas Machac w/o, Arthur Fils 7-6(5) 6-1 and Taylor Fritz 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(4).

In the semifinal, Mensik defeated Fritz (7-6⁴

4-6 7-6⁴). During the match Mensik scored 110 points vs Fritz’s 105. Mensik was very aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Talking about serving, Mensik overpowered his opponent with 25 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jakub Mensik was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (60/73) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mensik has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Jakub’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal the Cap Cana Challenger and Miami.

Jakub has a composed 16-7 win-loss record in 2025, 15-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Djokovic	Mensik
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	10	12
Tot Games	94	128
Pts	320-225	404-363
Total Points	545	767
Winners	168	217
%Winners	53%	54%

Both Djokovic and Mensik played 5 matches. At the moment, Jakub Mensik dropped 2 sets while Novak Djokovic hasn’t lost a set so far. Djokovic has played 2 set(s) less than Mensik (10 vs 12). Therefore, Djokovic played 34 games less than Mensik. Novak scored 168 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Mensik blasted 217 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Djokovic	Mensik
Aces	36	97
Avg per match	7.2	19.4
1st in	208/263	256/371
%1st in	79%	69%
1st pts	168/208	217/256
%1st pts	81%	85%
2nd pts	31/55	53/115
%2nd pts	56%	46%

Djokovic made 36 aces (7.2 per match). Mensik managed to score 97 aces (19.4 per match). Djokovic won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mensik won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Djokovic	Mensik
Won	17	10
Converted	17/37	10/25
% Converted	46%	40%
Conceded	7	15
Saved	3	11
% Saved	43%	73%
Times Broken	4	4

Novak broke his opponents 17 times with a 46% conversion rate. Novak lost his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Mensik broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Mensik conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
	R2 Hijikata	R3 Ugo	R4 Musetti	1/4 Korda	1/2 Dimitrov	Total
Score	6-0 7-61	6-1 7-61	6-2 6-2	6-3 7-64	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	10
Tot Games	19	20	16	22	17	94
pts	68-44	72-56	62-40	64-51	54-34	320-225
Total points	112	128	102	115	88	545
Winners	33	39	24	41	31	168
%Winners	49%	54%	39%	64%	57%	53%
SERVE
Aces	9	10	1	11	5	36
Double Faults	1	2	1	0	1	5
1st in	39/49	49/64	32/46	49/59	39/45	208/263
% 1st in	80%	77%	70%	83%	87%	79%
1st pts	33/39	39/49	24/32	41/49	31/39	168/208
% 1st pts	85%	80%	75%	84%	79%	81%
2nd pts	8/10	7/15	8/14	6/10	2/6	31/55
% 2nd pts	80%	47%	57%	60%	33%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3	5	2	4	17
Converted	3/10	3/7	5/12	2/2	4/6	17/37
Converted %	30%	43%	42%	100%	67%	46%
Conceded	2	1	1	1	2	7
Saved	2/2	0/1	0/1	0/1	1/2	3
Saved %	100%	0%	0%	0%	50%	30%
Times Broken	0	1	1	1	1	4

Mensik
	R1 Bautista-Agut	R2 Draper	R3 Safiullin	R4 Machac	1/4 Fils	1/2 Fritz	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 6-1	7-62 7-63	6-4 6-4	w/o	7-65 6-1	7-64 4-6 7-64
Tot Set	3	2	2	–	2	3	12
Tot Games	26	26	20	–	20	36	128
pts	83-74	88-80	55-50	–	68-54	110-105	404-363
Total points	157	168	105	–	122	215	767
Winners	48	43	36	–	30	60	217
%Winners	58%	49%	65%	–	44%	55%	54%
SERVE
Aces	23	21	15	–	13	25	97
Double Faults	3	0	1	–	2	4	10
1st in	57/86	50/76	41/55	–	35/53	73/101	256/371
% 1st in	66%	66%	75%	–	66%	72%	69%
1st pts	48/57	43/50	36/41	–	30/35	60/73	217/256
% 1st pts	84%	86%	88%	–	86%	82%	85%
2nd pts	9/29	14/26	6/14	–	9/18	15/28	53/115
% 2nd pts	31%	54%	43%	–	50%	54%	46%
Breaks
Won	3	1	2	–	4	0	10
Converted	3/5	1/9	2/2	–	4/7	0/2	10/25
Converted %	60%	11%	100%	–	57%	0%	40%
Conceded	8	2	0	–	3	2	15
Saved	7/8	1/2	0/0	–	2/3	1/2	11
Saved %	88%	50%	–	–	67%	50%	51%
Times Broken	1	1	0	–	1	1	4

Tennis Scores in Miami

• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool (7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

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