Hugo Grenier and Dmitry Popko will square off in the semifinal of the Morelia Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on ESTADIO TRES MARIAS. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Grenier who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hugo Grenier is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Grenier -> 1.46
Dmitry Popko -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Grenier vs. Dmitry Popko
This will be the 3rd time that Hugo Grenier and Dmitry Popko face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Grenier (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Grenier won 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the 1st round in the Poznan Challenger back in 2022.
Hugo Grenier
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-11 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-33 | 25-15 | 2-8 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-33 | 15-8 | 7-10 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-35 | 21-14 | 9-10 | 1-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-28 | 22-9 | 9-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 204, the French player got to the semifinal after defeating Kiranpal Pannu 6-4 6-4, Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-4 and Bernard Tomic 2-6 7-6(4) 6-2.
In the quarter against Tomic, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-64 6-2). During the match, Grenier scored 93 points vs Tomic’s 90. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Grenier fired 8 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 55% of his first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (19/41) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Tomic 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Grenier has good match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (352-262). 6-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Grenier has a compiled 190-95 match record in the last years on hard.
The French player has an overall 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelia Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Dmitry Popko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-11 | 10-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-33 | 7-2 | 57-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-20 | 1-1 | 38-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-30 | 11-11 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-34 | 0-4 | 27-19 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 245, the Kazakhstani got to the semifinal after defeating Terence Atmane 7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3, Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-3 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Popko had a good straight sets win against Agustin Tirante (6-1 6-4). During the match Popko scored 59 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 43. Popko was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Popko struck 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Dmitry Popko was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Popko broke Agustin Tirante 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Popko has a composed 8-10 win-loss record in 2025, 4-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Grenier | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 69 |
| Pts | 217-194 | 236-198 |
| Total Points | 411 | 434 |
| Winners | 78 | 101 |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% |
Both Grenier and Popko played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Grenier dropped 1 set, while Dmitry Popko lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Grenier and Popko have played the same amount of sets 7. They also played the same amount of games (69). The French player scored 78 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani scored 101 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Grenier | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 102/205 | 123/222 |
| %1st in | 50% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 78/102 | 101/123 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 62/103 | 57/99 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 58% |
Grenier blasted 21 aces (7 per match). Popko recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Grenier won 76% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Popko won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Grenier | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/16 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 56% | 47% |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 8 |
| % Saved | 62% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 |
Hugo broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Popko was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.
| Grenier | |||||
| R1 Pannu |
R2 Eubanks |
1/4 Tomic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 2-6 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 29 | 69 | |
| pts | 58-48 | 66-56 | 93-90 | 217-194 | |
| Total points | 106 | 122 | 183 | 411 | |
| Winners | 18 | 21 | 39 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 32% | 42% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 8 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 23/53 | 29/61 | 50/91 | 102/205 | |
| % 1st in | 43% | 48% | 55% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 21/29 | 39/50 | 78/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 72% | 78% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 24/32 | 19/41 | 62/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 75% | 46% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/4 | 4/7 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 57% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 2/2 | 6/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 60% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | |
| Popko | |||||
| R1 Atmane |
R2 Mannarino |
1/4 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-74 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 17 | 17 | 69 | |
| pts | 118-110 | 59-45 | 59-43 | 236-198 | |
| Total points | 228 | 104 | 102 | 434 | |
| Winners | 48 | 27 | 26 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 46% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 59/107 | 31/58 | 33/57 | 123/222 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 53% | 58% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 48/59 | 27/31 | 26/33 | 101/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 87% | 79% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/48 | 13/27 | 15/24 | 57/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 48% | 63% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 3/4 | 3/5 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 75% | 60% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLLWLL
LWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Morelia Challenger
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-3 6-72 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Bernard TomicTomic (2-6 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea Huesler/Stefano NapolitanoHuesler/Stefano Napolitano – Ray Ho/Reese StalderHo/Reese Stalder (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-2) – H2H and prediction
