James Duckworth and Beibit Zhukayev will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Morelia Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:30 pm on ESTADIO TRES MARIAS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is James Duckworth who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, James Duckworth is the pick to win this match.
James Duckworth -> 1.66
Beibit Zhukayev -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head James Duckworth vs. Beibit Zhukayev
This will be the 5th time that James Duckworth and Beibit Zhukayev square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Duckworth (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Zhukayev won 6-4 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in the Surbiton Challenger back in 2024.
James Duckworth
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-10 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-29 | 23-14 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 10-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-28 | 43-21 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-27 | 20-18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-24 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 12-9 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 95, Duckworth got to the semifinal after defeating Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros 6-1 6-3, Tyler Zink 7-5 6-3 and Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-4 7-6(6).
In the quarter, James had a good straight sets win against Alejandro Hernandez (6-4 7-66). During the match, Duckworth scored 81 points vs Alejandro Hernandez’s 71. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Duckworth struck 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, James Duckworth was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Australian broke Alejandro Hernandez 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Duckworth has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (287-187). 8-7 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Duckworth has a compiled 205-113 match record in the last years on hard.
James has an aggregate 9-9 win-loss record in 2025, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelia Challenger
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Beibit Zhukayev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-29 | 14-16 | 6-4 | 4-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-30 | 19-16 | 1-3 | 11-8 | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 43-30 | 33-21 | 1-2 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-21 | 13-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 215, Beibit reached the semifinal after beating Jurij Rodionov 6-1 6-3, Felipe Meligeni Alves 7-6(5) 6-4 and Marc-Andrea Huesler 6-3 6-7(2) 6-4.
In the quarter, Zhukayev defeated Huesler (6-3 6-72 6-4). During the match Zhukayev scored 96 points vs Huesler’s 91. Zhukayev was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Zhukayev fired 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Beibit Zhukayev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (39/49) of his 1st serve and 59% (26/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Zhukayev broke Huesler 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Zhukayev has a compiled 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Duckworth | Zhukayev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 71 |
| Pts | 223-174 | 229-202 |
| Total Points | 397 | 431 |
| Winners | 63 | 95 |
| %Winners | 28% | 41% |
Both Duckworth and Zhukayev played 3 matches. At the moment, Beibit Zhukayev conceded 1 set while James Duckworth hasn’t lost a set so far. Duckworth has played 1 set(s) less than Zhukayev (6 vs 7). Therefore, Duckworth played 11 games less than Zhukayev. Duckworth scored 63 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Zhukayev made 95 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Duckworth | Zhukayev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 9.7 |
| 1st in | 85/184 | 113/214 |
| %1st in | 46% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 63/85 | 95/113 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 59/99 | 57/101 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 56% |
Duckworth recorded 24 aces (8 per match). Zhukayev struck 29 aces (9.7 per match). Duckworth won 74% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Zhukayev won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Duckworth | Zhukayev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 8 |
| Converted | 12/21 | 8/19 |
| % Converted | 57% | 42% |
| Conceded | 13 | 7 |
| Saved | 8 | 6 |
| % Saved | 62% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
The Australian broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. James lost his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Duckworth | |||||
| R1 Fernando Rubio Fierros |
R2 Zink |
1/4 Alejandro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 23 | 60 | |
| pts | 70-49 | 72-54 | 81-71 | 223-174 | |
| Total points | 119 | 126 | 152 | 397 | |
| Winners | 16 | 19 | 28 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 23% | 26% | 35% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 15 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 22/47 | 25/60 | 38/77 | 85/184 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 42% | 49% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 16/22 | 19/25 | 28/38 | 63/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 76% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 24/35 | 22/39 | 59/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 69% | 56% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 75% | 75% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/4 | 3/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 60% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Zhukayev | |||||
| R1 Rodionov |
R2 Meligeni |
1/4 Huesler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-3 6-72 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 32 | 71 | |
| pts | 57-34 | 76-77 | 96-91 | 229-202 | |
| Total points | 91 | 153 | 187 | 431 | |
| Winners | 24 | 32 | 39 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 13 | 8 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 25/39 | 39/82 | 49/93 | 113/214 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 48% | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 24/25 | 32/39 | 39/49 | 95/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 82% | 80% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 22/43 | 26/44 | 57/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 51% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 1/3 | 3/7 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 33% | 43% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/4 | 2/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 67% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLLW
LWWWLLWLLW Tennis Scores in Morelia Challenger
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-3 6-72 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Bernard TomicTomic (2-6 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea Huesler/Stefano NapolitanoHuesler/Stefano Napolitano – Ray Ho/Reese StalderHo/Reese Stalder (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (6-4 7-6(6)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-2) – H2H and prediction
