Matias Soto and Nicolas Kicker will square off in the semifinal of the Concepcion Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matias Soto who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matias Soto is the pick to win this match.
Matias Soto -> 1.81
Nicolas Kicker -> 1.92
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Prediction and head to head Matias Soto vs. Nicolas Kicker
This will be the 4th time that Matias Soto and Nicolas Kicker clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Kicker (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Soto won 6-2 6-1 in the qualifications in the Cordoba Challenger back in March 2025.
Matias Soto
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-27 | 10-9 | 43-17 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-19 | 4-4 | 14-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-7 | 7-3 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-9 | 6-3 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 244 (career-high), Soto got to the semifinal after defeating Petr Nesterov 6-1 6-4, Valerio Aboian 7-6(5) 3-6 6-1 and Roman Andres Burruchaga 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter, Soto had a good straight sets win against Andres Burruchaga (7-5 6-4). During the match, Soto scored 76 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s 66. Soto was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Soto made 3 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Matias Soto lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Soto put 75% of his first serves in, winning 71% (34/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Matias broke Andres Burruchaga 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean has conceded 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Soto has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (131-80). 5-4 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Soto has an overall89-49 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Soto has a compiled 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Concepcion Challenger
Nicolas Kicker
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-13 | 2-4 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-10 | 1-1 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-28 | 6-6 | 20-21 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 64-21 | 17-2 | 47-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 715, the Argentine got to the semifinal after defeating Felix Corwin 3-6 6-1 6-1, Wilson Leite 6-4 3-6 6-1, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-1 6-1, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-0 6-1 and Guido Ivan Justo 6-4 1-6 6-1.
In the quarter, Nicolas defeated Ivan Justo (6-4 1-6 6-1). During the match Kicker scored 73 points vs Ivan Justo’s 68. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Kicker wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Nicolas Kicker lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kicker put 70% of his first serves in, winning 57% (28/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the 2nd serve. Kicker broke Ivan Justo 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kicker started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Nicolas’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Santiago.
The Argentine has a compiled 16-7 win-loss record in 2025, 16-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Concepcion Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Soto | Kicker |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 100 |
| Pts | 245-208 | 367-271 |
| Total Points | 453 | 638 |
| Winners | 111 | 135 |
| %Winners | 45% | 37% |
Soto played 3 matches while Kicker competed in 5 matches. Kicker started his run from the qualifications while Soto had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Matias Soto lost 1 set, while Nicolas Kicker conceded 3 sets. Soto has played 6 set(s) less than Kicker (7 vs 13). Therefore, Soto played 32 games less than Kicker. The Chilean scored 111 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Kicker bagged 135 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Soto | Kicker |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1.4 |
| 1st in | 158/225 | 191/287 |
| %1st in | 70% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 111/158 | 135/191 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 36/67 | 57/96 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 59% |
Soto blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Kicker fired 7 aces (1.4 per match). Soto won 70% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kicker won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Soto | Kicker |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 26 |
| Converted | 11/25 | 26/65 |
| % Converted | 44% | 40% |
| Conceded | 20 | 16 |
| Saved | 15 | 8 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 |
Soto broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Matias surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponents 26 times with a 40% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Soto | |||||
| R1 Nesterov |
R2 Aboian |
1/4 Andres |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 7-65 3-6 6-1 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 | 22 | 68 | |
| pts | 70-52 | 99-90 | 76-66 | 245-208 | |
| Total points | 122 | 189 | 142 | 453 | |
| Winners | 35 | 42 | 34 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 42% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 51/70 | 59/91 | 48/64 | 158/225 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 65% | 75% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 35/51 | 42/59 | 34/48 | 111/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 71% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 19/32 | 8/16 | 36/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 59% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/7 | 4/8 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 43% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 7/9 | 2/4 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 78% | 50% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Kicker | |||||||
| Q1 Corwin |
Q3 Leite |
R1 Daniel |
R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/4 Ivan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-0 6-1 | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 24 | 100 | |
| pts | 87-66 | 94-82 | 55-26 | 58-29 | 73-68 | 367-271 | |
| Total points | 153 | 176 | 81 | 87 | 141 | 638 | |
| Winners | 30 | 39 | 17 | 21 | 28 | 135 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% | 31% | 36% | 38% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 42/65 | 53/86 | 22/35 | 25/31 | 49/70 | 191/287 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 62% | 63% | 81% | 70% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 39/53 | 17/22 | 21/25 | 28/49 | 135/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 74% | 77% | 84% | 57% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 14/33 | 11/13 | 3/6 | 14/21 | 57/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 42% | 85% | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/15 | 5/12 | 6/18 | 5/8 | 26/65 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 63% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 5/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 63% | – | – | 33% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLWWWL
LWWWWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Concepcion Challenger
- Matias SotoSoto – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas KickerKicker – Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo (6-4 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-68 6-4) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Seita Watanabe/Takeru YuzukiWatanabe/Takeru Yuzuki – Leonardo Aboian/Valerio AboianAboian/Valerio Aboian (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas KickerKicker – Matias SotoSoto (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
