Novak Djokovic and Grigor Dimitrov will face off in the semifinal of the Miami Open for the 14th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.26
Grigor Dimitrov -> 3.85
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 14th time that Novak Djokovic and Grigor Dimitrov play each other. The head to head is 12-1 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 6-4 6-3 in the final in Paris back in 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov – Paris 05-November-2023
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Novak reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Rinky Hijikata 6-0 7-6(1), Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 7-6(1), Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-2 and Sebastian Korda 6-3 7-6(4).
In the quarter, Novak had a good straight sets win against Korda (6-3 7-64). During the match, Djokovic scored 64 points vs Korda’s 51. Djokovic was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic recorded 11 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (41/49) of his 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Djokovic was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Korda twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a marvellous record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (449-80). 11-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has an aggregate 198-32 record in the last years on hard.
Djokovic’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .
Novak has a composed 11-4 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Dimitrov got to the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Federico Cina 6-1 6-4, Karen Khachanov 6-7(3) 6-4 7-5, Brandon Nakashima 6-4 7-5 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3).
In the quarter against Cerundolo, Grigor recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 6-4 7-63). During the match Dimitrov scored 115 points vs Cerundolo’s 108. Dimitrov was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Dimitrov blasted 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 61% of his first serves in, winning 80% (53/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Grigor broke Cerundolo 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dimitrov has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Bulgarian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal Brisbane.
Grigor has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 77 | 110 |
| Pts | 266-191 | 347-295 |
| Total Points | 457 | 642 |
| Winners | 137 | 166 |
| %Winners | 52% | 48% |
Both Djokovic and Dimitrov played 4 matches. At the moment, Grigor Dimitrov conceded 2 sets while Novak Djokovic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Djokovic has played 2 set(s) less than Dimitrov (8 vs 10). Therefore, Djokovic played 33 games less than Dimitrov. The Serbian scored 137 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Grigor recorded 166 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 36 |
| Avg per match | 7.8 | 9 |
| 1st in | 169/218 | 205/314 |
| %1st in | 78% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 137/169 | 166/205 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 29/49 | 66/109 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 61% |
Djokovic scored 31 aces (7.8 per match). Dimitrov recorded 36 aces (9 per match). Djokovic won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 10 |
| Converted | 13/31 | 10/35 |
| % Converted | 42% | 29% |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Saved | 2 | 10 |
| % Saved | 40% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
The Serbian broke his opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. Djokovic surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Grigor broke his opponents 10 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Bulgarian conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||||
| R2 Hijikata |
R3 Ugo |
R4 Musetti |
1/4 Korda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-61 | 6-1 7-61 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 77 | |
| pts | 68-44 | 72-56 | 62-40 | 64-51 | 266-191 | |
| Total points | 112 | 128 | 102 | 115 | 457 | |
| Winners | 33 | 39 | 24 | 41 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 54% | 39% | 64% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 39/49 | 49/64 | 32/46 | 49/59 | 169/218 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 77% | 70% | 83% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 39/49 | 24/32 | 41/49 | 137/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 80% | 75% | 84% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/10 | 7/15 | 8/14 | 6/10 | 29/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 47% | 57% | 60% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/7 | 5/12 | 2/2 | 13/31 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 43% | 42% | 100% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Dimitrov | ||||||
| R2 Cina |
R3 Khachanov |
R4 Nakashima |
1/4 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-73 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-76 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 35 | 22 | 36 | 110 | |
| pts | 63-40 | 111-94 | 58-53 | 115-108 | 347-295 | |
| Total points | 103 | 205 | 111 | 223 | 642 | |
| Winners | 26 | 54 | 33 | 53 | 166 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 57% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 67/95 | 40/57 | 66/108 | 205/314 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 71% | 70% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 54/67 | 33/40 | 53/66 | 166/205 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | 83% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 20/28 | 11/17 | 21/42 | 66/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 71% | 65% | 50% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/10 | 2/5 | 3/13 | 10/35 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 20% | 40% | 23% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 3/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | – | 60% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLLLW
LWWWWLWWLL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (7-67 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (2-6 7-64 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (12-1) – H2H and prediction
