[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Jasmine Paolini’s draw vs Sabalenka, Pegula to win the Miami

Miami draw preview with H2H - Jasmine Paolini may need to overcome Aryna Sabalenka, Jessica Pegula to conquer the tournament in the Miami Open.

Jasmine Paolini Stats info

Jasmine Paolini is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Miami. Paolini has defeated Rebecca Sramkova 6-4 6-4, Ons Jabeur 4-3 ret., Naomi Osaka 3-6 6-4 6-4 and Magda Linette 6-3 6-2 to reach the semifinal where she will face Aryna Sabalenka.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Jasmine Paolini’s projected draw andherpresumable opposition in Miami Open. Paolini has a weak record (2-8) against the plausible opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Rebecca Sramkova (37) – 6-4 6-4
R3 – Ons Jabeur (30) – 4-3 ret.
R4 – Naomi Osaka (61) – 3-6 6-4 6-4
1/4 – Magda Linette (34) – 6-3 6-2
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-3
Fin – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 0-5
or Alexandra Eala (140) – H2H 0-0
Paolini
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

23 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-4 23-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 21-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, the Belarussian has a 248-96 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the current year was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in Miami Open the Belarussian was defeated by Anhelina Kalinina in the 3rd round 6-4 1-6 6-1.

H2H Jasmine Paolini vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 6th time that Jasmine Paolini and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-0 for Jessica Pegula

25 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
3
WWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-6 20-6 5-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 19-5 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the last 17 years, Jessica has a 270-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this year was conquering the competition in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Miami Open the American lost to Ekaterina Alexandrova in the quarter 3-6 6-4 6-4.

H2H Jasmine Paolini vs. Jessica Pegula

This would be the 6th time that Jasmine Paolini and Jessica Pegula fight against each other. The head to head is 5-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Jasmine Paolini could fight against Alexandra Eala. Their head to head is 0-0.