[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Aryna Sabalenka’s draw vs Paolini, Pegula to win the Miami

Miami draw preview with H2H - Aryna Sabalenka may need to best Jasmine Paolini, Jessica Pegula to conquer the competition in the Miami Open.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats info

Aryna Sabalenka is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Miami. Aryna has defeated Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-0, Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-1 ret., Danielle Rose Collins 6-4 6-4 and Qinwen Zheng 6-2 7-5 to reach the semifinal where she will face Jasmine Paolini.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw andherlikely opponents in Miami Open. Sabalenka has a favorable record (9-4) with the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Viktoriya Tomova (64) – 6-3 6-0
R3 – Elena Gabriela Ruse (102) – 6-1 ret.
R4 – Danielle Rose Collins (15) – 6-4 6-4
1/4 – Qinwen Zheng (9) – 6-2 7-5
1/2 – Jasmine Paolini (7) – H2H 3-2
Fin – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 6-2
or Alexandra Eala (140) – H2H 0-0
Sabalenka
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/2 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

12 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
4
WWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-5 12-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 12-5 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 13 years, the Italian has a 139-102 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Paolini won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in Miami Open the Italian surrendered to Emma Navarro in the 3rd round 6-2 3-6 6-0.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jasmine Paolini

This match would represent the 6th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

19 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
WWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-5 19-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 19-5 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the last 17 years, Jessica has a 270-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the season was winning the competition in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Miami Open Pegula capitulated to Ekaterina Alexandrova in the quarter 3-6 6-4 6-4.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula

This would be the 9th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 6-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Aryna Sabalenka may take on Alexandra Eala. Their head to head record is 0-0.