Jessica Pegula and Alexandra Eala will square off in the semifinal of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.222
Alexandra Eala -> 4.25
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Alexandra Eala
There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Alexandra Eala since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-5 | 19-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the American reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Bernarda Pera 6-4 6-4, Anna Kalinskaya 6-7(3) 6-2 7-6(2), Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-3 and Emma Raducanu 6-4 6-7(3) 6-2.
In the quarter, Jessica defeated Raducanu (6-4 6-73 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 105 points vs Raducanu’s 90. The American was very aggressive to blast 59 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula recorded 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 78% of her first serves in, winning 74% (59/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Raducanu 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (323-162). 19-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has an aggregate 223-95 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Austin where she beat Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.
The American has a composed 19-5 win-loss record in 2025, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Alexandra Eala
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-7 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-31 | 27-18 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-23 | 37-16 | 0-3 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-20 | 30-13 | 0-1 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-13 | 10-7 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140, Eala got to the semifinal after defeating Katie Volynets 6-3 7-6(3), Jelena Ostapenko 7-6(2) 7-5, Madison Keys 6-4 6-2, Paula Badosa w/o and Iga Swiatek 6-2 7-5.
In the quarter, Alexandra had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-2 7-5). During the match Eala scored 77 points vs Swiatek’s 59. Eala was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Eala scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Alexandra Eala lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Eala put 67% of her first serves in, winning 52% (23/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Filipino broke Swiatek 8 times after converting 80% of her break points (8/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Eala hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Eala’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra.
Alexandra has an overall 14-7 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 102 | 85 |
| Pts | 349-277 | 318-267 |
| Total Points | 626 | 585 |
| Winners | 161 | 118 |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% |
Both Pegula and Eala played 4 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula surrendered 2 sets while Alexandra Eala hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pegula has played 2 sets more than Eala (10 vs 8). Therefore, Pegula played 17 games more than Eala. Pegula scored 161 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Eala made 118 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 210/300 | 208/298 |
| %1st in | 70% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 161/210 | 118/208 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 57% |
| 2nd pts | 50/90 | 45/90 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 50% |
Pegula managed to score 14 aces (3.5 per match). Eala scored 5 aces (1.3 per match). Pegula won 77% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Eala won 57% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 25 |
| Converted | 15/38 | 25/45 |
| % Converted | 39% | 56% |
| Conceded | 15 | 35 |
| Saved | 11 | 19 |
| % Saved | 73% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 16 |
The American broke her opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded. Eala broke her opponents 25 times with a 56% conversion rate. Alexandra conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||||
| R2 Pera |
R3 Kalinskaya |
R4 Kostyuk |
1/4 Raducanu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-73 6-2 7-62 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-73 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 34 | 17 | 31 | 102 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 109-90 | 67-45 | 105-90 | 349-277 | |
| Total points | 120 | 199 | 112 | 195 | 626 | |
| Winners | 28 | 51 | 23 | 59 | 161 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 47% | 34% | 56% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 36/59 | 62/95 | 32/44 | 80/102 | 210/300 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 65% | 73% | 78% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 51/62 | 23/32 | 59/80 | 161/210 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 82% | 72% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/33 | 9/12 | 11/22 | 50/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 45% | 75% | 50% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 4/7 | 5/19 | 4/9 | 15/38 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 57% | 26% | 44% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/4 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | 83% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Eala | |||||||
| R1 Volynets |
R2 Ostapenko |
R3 Keys |
R4 Badosa |
1/4 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 7-62 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | w/o | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 25 | 18 | – | 20 | 85 | |
| pts | 75-69 | 93-84 | 73-55 | – | 77-59 | 318-267 | |
| Total points | 144 | 177 | 128 | – | 136 | 585 | |
| Winners | 26 | 45 | 24 | – | 23 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 48% | 33% | – | 30% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | – | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 49/69 | 74/101 | 41/62 | – | 44/66 | 208/298 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 73% | 66% | – | 67% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 26/49 | 45/74 | 24/41 | – | 23/44 | 118/208 | |
| % 1st pts | 53% | 61% | 59% | – | 52% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 13/27 | 11/21 | – | 11/22 | 45/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 52% | – | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | – | 8 | 25 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/12 | 6/13 | – | 8/10 | 25/45 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 42% | 46% | – | 80% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 35 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 11/15 | 2/5 | – | 4/9 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 73% | 40% | – | 44% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 3 | – | 5 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWWWWW
WWWWLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Mirra Andreeva/Diana ShnaiderAndreeva/Diana Shnaider – Ekaterina Alexandrova/Peyton StearnsAlexandrova/Peyton Stearns (5-7 6-3 10-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (6-4 6-73 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexandra EalaEala – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Katerina Siniakova/Taylor TownsendSiniakova/Taylor Townsend – Caroline Dolehide/Storm HunterDolehide/Storm Hunter (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Cristina Bucsa/Miyu KatoBucsa/Miyu Kato – Elise Mertens/Shuai ZhangMertens/Shuai Zhang (4-6 7-5 10-8) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Magda LinetteLinette (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Mateo Nicolas MartinezNicolas Martinez – Luca GiacominiGiacomini (4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Skander MansouriMansouri – Imanol Lopez MorilloLopez Morillo (6-2 7-61) – See score progression
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Ricardo Rodriguez-PaceRodriguez-Pace (6-1 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Michal DembekDembek (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (6-4 6-7(3) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
