Mark Lajal and Bernard Tomic will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Morelia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on GRANDSTAND PABLO ARROYO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mark Lajal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mark Lajal is the pick to win this match.
Mark Lajal -> 1.54
Bernard Tomic -> 2.35
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Prediction and head to head Mark Lajal vs. Bernard Tomic
This will be the 2nd time that Mark Lajal and Bernard Tomic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tomic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Tomic won 7-6(1) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Tiburon Challenger back in 2023.
Mark Lajal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-3 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-30 | 18-14 | 0-3 | 15-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 25-16 | 5-2 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-24 | 35-12 | 2-6 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 205, the Estonian got to the 2nd round after beating Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 6-1 7-6(6).
In the 1st round, The Estonian had a good straight sets win against Pacheco Mendez (6-1 7-66). During the match, Lajal scored 68 points vs Pacheco Mendez’s 54. The Estonian was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Lajal managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mark Lajal was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (35/42) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Estonian broke Pacheco Mendez twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Lajal has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 61% of his matches (145-93). 5-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Lajal has an overall88-47 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Mark’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 3 Challenger.
Mark has an overall 10-3 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelia Challenger
The Estonian has never competed in this tournament before.
Bernard Tomic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 34-19 | 12-5 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-27 | 35-19 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-12 | 24-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 219, Bernard got to the 2nd round after beating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 6-7(3) 6-4.
In the 1st round, Bernard defeated Mochizuki (6-1 6-73 6-4). During the match Tomic scored 112 points vs Mochizuki’s 98. Bernard was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Tomic struck 9 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Bernard Tomic lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Tomic put 53% of his first serves in, winning 76% (41/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (24/48) on the 2nd serve. Bernard broke Mochizuki 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Bernard has an overall 6-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lajal | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 30 |
| Pts | 68-54 | 112-98 |
| Total Points | 122 | 210 |
| Winners | 35 | 41 |
| %Winners | 51% | 37% |
Both Lajal and Tomic played 1 match. At the moment, Bernard Tomic surrendered 1 set while Mark Lajal hasn’t lost a set so far. Lajal has played 1 set(s) less than Tomic (2 vs 3). Therefore, Lajal played 10 games less than Tomic. The Estonian scored 35 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Bernard made 41 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lajal | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 9 |
| 1st in | 42/65 | 54/102 |
| %1st in | 65% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 35/42 | 41/54 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 24/48 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 50% |
Lajal made 8 aces . Tomic struck 9 aces . Lajal won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Tomic won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lajal | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 5/13 |
| % Converted | 67% | 38% |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 |
| Saved | 2 | 10 |
| % Saved | 100% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
The Estonian broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Lajal pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Tomic broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Tomic conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Lajal | |||
| R1 Pacheco |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 68-54 | 68-54 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 42/65 | 42/65 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 35/42 | 35/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 13/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Tomic | |||
| R1 Mochizuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-73 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 112-98 | 112-98 | |
| Total points | 210 | 210 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 54/102 | 54/102 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 41/54 | 41/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 24/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWLW
WLWLLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Morelia Challenger
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Tyler ZinkZink (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Dmitry PopkoPopko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernard TomicTomic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
